統計量、スペクトル分析結果、X11による暫定季節調整、対数変換:自動判定の場合

20140910_04

  Reading input spec file from EXJPUS.spc
  Reading data from C:\X12ARIMA\EXJPUS.dat

1

               U. S. Department of Commerce, U. S. Census Bureau

                 X-12-ARIMA monthly seasonal adjustment Method,
                         Release Version 0.3  Build 192



           This method modifies the X-11 variant of Census Method II
           by J. Shiskin A.H. Young and J.C. Musgrave of February, 1967.
          and the X-11-ARIMA program based on the methodological research
           developed by Estela Bee Dagum, Chief of the Seasonal Adjustment
            and Time Series Staff of Statistics Canada, September, 1979.

            This version of X-12-ARIMA includes an automatic ARIMA model
          selection procedure based largely on the procedure of Gomez and
                  Maravall (1998) as implemented in TRAMO (1996).

      Primary Programmers: Brian Monsell, Mark Otto


     Series Title- X-12-ARIMA run of EXJPUS
     Series Name- EXJPUS
     Sep 10, 2014  16.29.59 

        -Period covered-  1st month,1971 to  9th month,2014
        -Type of run - auto-mode seasonal adjustment

        -Sigma limits for graduating extreme values are 1.5 and 2.5 .
        -3x3 moving average used in section 1 of each iteration, 
         3x5 moving average in section 2 of iterations B and C,
         moving average for final seasonal factors chosen by Global MSR.
        -Spectral plots generated for selected series
        -Spectral plots generated for series starting in 2006.Oct

 FILE SAVE REQUESTS (* indicates file exists and will be overwritten)
  EXJPUS.d11  final seasonally adjusted data
  EXJPUS.out  program output file
  EXJPUS.err  program error file
  EXJPUS.udg  seasonal adjustment and model diagnostics file
        X-12-ARIMA run of EXJPUS            PAGE   1, SERIES EXJPUS

     Contents of spc file EXJPUS.spc

 Line #
 ------
      1: series{
      2:   file="C:\X12ARIMA\EXJPUS.dat"
      3:   start=1971.1
      4:   span=(1971.1,2014.9)
      5:   decimals=4
      6:   period=12
      7:   }
      8:   transform{function=auto}
      9:   x11{save=d11}


 Likelihood statistics for model fit to untransformed series.

 Likelihood Statistics
 ------------------------------------------------------------------
 Number of observations (nobs)                                  525
 Effective number of observations (nefobs)                      512
 Number of parameters estimated (np)                              3
 Log likelihood (L)                                      -1503.9120
 AIC                                                      3013.8240 
 AICC (F-corrected-AIC)                                   3013.8713 
 Hannan Quinn                                             3018.8083 
 BIC                                                      3026.5390 
 ------------------------------------------------------------------


 Likelihood statistics for model fit to log transformed series.

 Likelihood Statistics
 ------------------------------------------------------------------
 Number of observations (nobs)                                  525
 Effective number of observations (nefobs)                      512
 Number of parameters estimated (np)                              3
 Log likelihood                                           1132.2827
 Transformation Adjustment                               -2555.4484
 Adjusted Log likelihood (L)                             -1423.1657
 AIC                                                      2852.3314 
 AICC (F-corrected-AIC)                                   2852.3786 
 Hannan Quinn                                             2857.3157 
 BIC                                                      2865.0464 
 ------------------------------------------------------------------


   *****   AICC (with aicdiff=-2.00) prefers log transformation   *****
   *****   Multiplicative seasonal adjustment will be performed.   ****



        X-12-ARIMA run of EXJPUS            PAGE   2, SERIES EXJPUS

 A 1  Time series data (for the span analyzed)
  From  1971.Jan to 2014.Sep
  Observations        525
 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  Jan          Feb          Mar          Apr 
                  May          Jun          Jul          Aug 
                  Sep          Oct          Nov          Dec           TOTAL  
 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  1971        358.0200     357.5450     357.5187     357.5032
              357.4130     357.4118     357.4043     355.7800
              338.0210     331.1105     328.7520     320.0727        4176.5522
 
  1972        312.7200     305.1870     302.5365     303.5605
              304.3795     302.4145     301.0305     301.1609
              301.1190     301.0110     300.9885     301.2405        3637.3484
 
  1973        301.7882     278.4206     261.9014     265.4914
              264.6505     264.4981     264.5538     265.2200
              265.4747     266.3348     278.2625     280.1775        3256.7735
 
  1974        298.1336     291.0872     282.1648     277.7741
              278.9664     282.9700     290.9800     302.2836
              299.0840     299.3645     300.0750     300.4114        3503.2946
 
  1975        299.6845     291.6583     287.9486     292.1968
              291.4305     293.4662     296.3741     297.9762
              299.9090     302.3364     302.5453     305.6700        3561.1959
 
  1976        304.6357     301.5944     300.5183     299.1086
              299.0040     299.1909     294.6410     290.6259
              287.3610     291.1890     295.1653     294.7017        3557.7358
 
  1977        291.0524     285.0221     280.2265     275.2071
              277.4262     272.8609     264.8632     266.6774
              266.7700     254.7445     244.7026     241.0229        3220.5758
 
  1978        241.0810     240.3722     231.8574     221.8570
              226.1786     214.1064     199.6955     188.7096
              189.9195     183.6310     192.1425     195.9550        2525.5057
 
  1979        197.7550     200.5072     206.3236     216.2852
              218.4141     218.5967     216.5100     217.9257
              222.4137     230.4845     244.9842     240.3745        2630.5744
 
  1980        237.8886     244.3500     248.4786     250.2750
              228.6286     217.9176     221.1364     223.9138
              214.4167     209.3227     213.1059     209.4886        2718.9225
 
  1981        202.3667     205.7167     208.7918     214.9759
              220.6285     224.1805     232.3261     233.3262
              229.4810     231.5190     223.1267     218.9545        2645.3936
 
  1982        224.8050     235.3056     241.2283     244.1068
              236.9635     251.1977     255.0310     259.0455
              263.2857     271.6150     264.0879     241.9413        2988.6133
 
  1983        232.7310     236.1211     238.2543     237.7467
              234.7557     240.0314     240.5160     244.4613
              242.3462     232.8855     235.0300     234.4624        2849.3416
 
  1984        233.8000     233.5963     225.2664     225.2000
              230.4777     233.5657     243.0676     242.2609
              245.4568     246.7545     243.6305     247.9640        2851.0404
 
  1985        254.1829     260.4778     257.9205     251.8455
              251.7295     248.8400     241.1364     237.4609
              236.5275     214.6805     204.0737     202.7881        2861.6633
 
  1986        199.8905     184.8516     178.6938     175.0918
              167.0314     167.5419     158.6059     154.1771
              154.7314     156.4723     162.8494     162.0523        2021.9894
 
  1987        154.8295     153.4068     151.4332     142.8986
              140.4790     144.5495     150.2939     147.3343
              143.2910     143.3200     135.3974     128.2418        1735.4750
 
  1988        127.6853     129.1665     127.1139     124.8976
              124.7871     127.4655     133.0215     133.7661
              134.3176     128.6805     123.2020     123.6076        1537.7112
 
  1989        127.3625     127.7374     130.5504     132.0365
              137.8636     143.9809     140.4240     141.4852
              145.0700     142.2067     143.5343     143.6850        1655.9365
 
  1990        144.9819     145.6932     153.3082     158.4586
              154.0441     153.6957     149.0395     147.4609
              138.4405     129.5909     129.2155     133.8890        1737.8180
 
  1991        133.6986     130.5358     137.3867     137.1127
              138.2218     139.7475     137.8300     136.8164
              134.2995     130.7723     129.6321     128.0395        1614.0929
 
  1992        125.4614     127.6989     132.8627     133.5395
              130.7710     126.8355     125.8817     126.2310
              122.5967     121.1652     123.8800     124.0409        1520.9645
 
  1993        124.9932     120.7595     117.0174     112.4114
              110.3430     107.4118     107.6914     103.7650
              105.5748     107.0200     107.8765     109.9130        1334.7770
 
  1994        111.4415     106.3011     105.0974     103.4843
              103.7533     102.5264      98.4450      99.9404
               98.7743      98.3530      98.0440     100.1824        1226.3431
 
  1995         99.7660      98.2368      90.5196      83.6895
               85.1127      84.6355      87.3970      94.7383
              100.5455     100.8390     101.9400     101.8495        1129.2694
 
  1996        105.7514     105.7880     105.9400     107.1995
              106.3423     108.9600     109.1909     107.8659
              109.9310     112.4123     112.2958     113.9810        1305.6581
 
  1997        117.9124     122.9621     122.7738     125.6377
              119.1924     114.2857     115.3759     117.9295
              120.8900     121.0605     125.3817     129.7341        1453.1358
 
  1998        129.5475     125.8516     129.0823     131.7536
              134.8960     140.3305     140.7874     144.6800
              134.4805     121.0486     120.2895     117.0709        1569.8184
 
  1999        113.2900     116.6684     119.4730     119.7723
              121.9995     120.7245     119.3305     113.2268
              106.8752     105.9650     104.6485     102.5843        1364.5580
 
  2000        105.2960     109.3885     106.3074     105.6270
              108.3205     106.1255     108.2115     108.0804
              106.8375     108.4429     109.0095     112.2090        1293.8557
 
  2001        116.6719     116.2337     121.5050     123.7710
              121.7682     122.3510     124.4981     121.3670
              118.6117     121.4536     122.4055     127.5945        1458.2312
 
  2002        132.6833     133.6426     131.0610     130.7718
              126.3750     123.2905     117.8991     118.9927
              121.0780     123.9077     121.6079     121.8929        1503.2025
 
  2003        118.8133     119.3379     118.6871     119.8950
              117.3681     118.3290     118.6959     118.6624
              114.8000     109.4955     109.1778     107.7377        1390.9997
 
  2004        106.2685     106.7079     108.5157     107.6564
              112.1960     109.4336     109.4871     110.2336
              110.0914     108.7835     104.6990     103.8104        1297.8831
 
  2005        103.3410     104.9442     105.2543     107.1938
              106.5952     108.7473     111.9535     110.6065
              111.2390     114.8695     118.4540     118.4624        1321.6607
 
  2006        115.4765     117.8605     117.2778     117.0695
              111.7305     114.6250     115.7670     115.9243
              117.2145     118.6090     117.3205     117.3220        1396.1971
 
  2007        120.4471     120.5047     117.2600     118.9324
              120.7732     122.6886     121.4148     116.7335
              115.0435     115.8661     111.0729     112.4490        1413.1858
 
  2008        107.8181     107.0300     100.7562     102.6777
              104.3595     106.9152     106.8518     109.3624
              106.5748      99.9659      96.9656      91.2750        1240.5522
 
  2009         90.1205      92.9158      97.8550      98.9200
               96.6445      96.6145      94.3670      94.8971
               91.2748      90.3671      89.2674      89.9509        1123.1946
 
  2010         91.1011      90.1395      90.7161      93.4527
               91.9730      90.8059      87.5005      85.3727
               84.3571      81.7285      82.5180      83.3376        1053.0027
 
  2011         82.6250      82.5368      81.6470      83.1771
               81.1257      80.4259      79.2425      76.9657
               76.7957      76.6430      77.5595      77.7967         956.5406
 
  2012         76.9640      78.4700      82.4659      81.2524
               79.6668      79.3152      78.9348      78.6909
               78.1353      79.0132      81.0305      83.7905         957.7295
 
  2013         89.0581      93.0016      94.7700      97.7582
              100.9186      97.2350      99.6727      97.8123
               99.2100      97.7700     100.0737     103.4600        1170.7402
 
  2014        103.7614     102.1253     102.3395     102.4582
              101.7738     102.0629     101.7400     102.9438
              105.0350                                                924.2399
 
  AVGE        167.4478     166.7604     166.1047     166.1757
              165.3971     165.5206     165.2004     165.0657
              163.8114     163.5536     163.4889     162.9113

  Table Total-         86693.29   Mean-         165.13   Std. Dev.-          75.01
                                  Min -          76.64        Max -         358.02
        X-12-ARIMA run of EXJPUS            PAGE   3, SERIES EXJPUS

 C 17  Final weights for irregular component
  From  1971.Jan to 2014.Sep
  Observations        525
  Lower sigma limit    1.50
  Upper sigma limit    2.50
 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  Jan          Feb          Mar          Apr 
                  May          Jun          Jul          Aug 
                  Sep          Oct          Nov          Dec            S.D.  
 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  1971        100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000      64.4173
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000           0.8600
 
  1972        100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000           0.8600
 
  1973          0.0000     100.0000       0.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000           0.8600
 
  1974          0.0000       0.0000     100.0000       0.0000
                0.0000       0.4530     100.0000       0.4859
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000           0.8334
 
  1975        100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000           0.9169
 
  1976        100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000           1.1897
 
  1977        100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
               81.0999     100.0000       0.0000      61.2311           1.1066
 
  1978        100.0000      54.7334     100.0000     100.0000
                0.0000     100.0000     100.0000       0.0000
              100.0000      41.4298     100.0000     100.0000           1.3242
 
  1979        100.0000     100.0000     100.0000      86.3963
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000      96.8773
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000           1.4640
 
  1980        100.0000     100.0000      90.3388       0.0000
              100.0000       0.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000           1.5683
 
  1981        100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000      78.2230     100.0000      61.6733           1.4149
 
  1982        100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
               65.0897     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000       0.0000      17.1424      58.1488           1.3434
 
  1983          0.0000      80.2940     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000           1.2605
 
  1984        100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000           1.3500
 
  1985        100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
               72.4383     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000           1.4031
 
  1986          0.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000      69.5411
              100.0000     100.0000       0.0000       0.0000           1.4319
 
  1987        100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
               43.7226     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000      33.2222     100.0000     100.0000           1.5283
 
  1988        100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000           1.5586
 
  1989        100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000       0.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000           1.3955
 
  1990        100.0000     100.0000     100.0000       0.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000       0.0000      42.1253     100.0000           1.2976
 
  1991        100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000           1.3440
 
  1992          0.0000     100.0000     100.0000       0.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000           1.2856
 
  1993        100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000      12.7806
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000           1.4998
 
  1994        100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000      79.6627           1.4863
 
  1995        100.0000       0.0000     100.0000       0.0000
              100.0000       0.0000      84.5275     100.0000
                8.8616     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000           1.5940
 
  1996        100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000           1.6369
 
  1997        100.0000     100.0000     100.0000      15.1084
              100.0000      52.9164     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000           1.7618
 
  1998        100.0000      42.8373     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000       0.0000
              100.0000       0.0000     100.0000     100.0000           1.5263
 
  1999          0.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000           1.5664
 
  2000        100.0000      24.4848     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000           1.4589
 
  2001        100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
               77.0854     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000           1.3516
 
  2002         41.9169      77.8670     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000       0.0000     100.0000
              100.0000      70.4341     100.0000     100.0000           1.2203
 
  2003        100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000      11.7011
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000           1.1384
 
  2004        100.0000     100.0000     100.0000      94.0722
                0.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000           1.1270
 
  2005        100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000       0.0000     100.0000           1.0662
 
  2006        100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
                0.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000           1.1388
 
  2007         76.3772     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000           1.1508
 
  2008        100.0000     100.0000       0.0000      42.5151
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000       0.0000
                0.0000     100.0000     100.0000       0.0000           1.1343
 
  2009          0.0000      84.6788       0.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000      67.3561
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000           1.0464
 
  2010        100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000           0.9782
 
  2011        100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000           0.9724
 
  2012         33.1171     100.0000       0.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000           0.9178
 
  2013        100.0000      17.2656     100.0000     100.0000
               18.5250       0.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000      38.4172           0.9178
 
  2014        100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000     100.0000     100.0000     100.0000
              100.0000                                                  0.9178
 
        X-12-ARIMA run of EXJPUS            PAGE   4, SERIES EXJPUS

 D 8  Final unmodified SI ratios
  From  1971.Jan to 2014.Sep
  Observations        525
 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  Jan          Feb          Mar          Apr 
                  May          Jun          Jul          Aug 
                  Sep          Oct          Nov          Dec            AVGE  
 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  1971         99.8220      98.9841      98.4386      98.1808
               98.3817      99.3371     100.9070     102.6044
               99.9673     100.5381     102.2670     101.5538         100.0818
 
  1972        100.5193      98.7141      97.9209      98.2894
               99.0364      99.2916      99.7547     100.4521
              100.7131     100.8882     101.5213     102.9070         100.0007
 
  1973        104.9648      98.8712      94.9067      97.7988
               98.5780      99.2647      99.8408     100.3371
              100.2074      99.6674     102.6616     101.6497          99.8957
 
  1974        106.4486     102.5963      98.5030      96.3034
               96.2273      97.0053      98.9769     102.0731
              100.5874     100.6978     101.2744     101.8934         100.2156
 
  1975        102.0215      99.4264      98.1423      99.4105
               98.8109      99.0995      99.6337      99.7480
              100.0514     100.6946     100.6742     101.5891          99.9418
 
  1976        101.0725      99.9077      99.5462      99.2431
               99.5264     100.2799      99.6953      99.2143
               98.5689      99.8673     101.0653     101.1398          99.9272
 
  1977        100.8714     100.2025      99.9282      99.4007
              101.2962     100.3811      97.9566      99.2619
              100.5945      98.1939      97.0471      98.2825          99.4514
 
  1978        100.6929     102.7584     101.6737     100.0082
              104.8619     101.9485      97.6704      94.8987
               97.8001      95.6786      99.9639     101.0153          99.9142
 
  1979        100.4779      99.9662     100.5472     102.8752
              101.8428     100.7572      99.0207      98.1746
               97.6493      98.4075     102.4019      99.2257         100.1122
 
  1980         97.7488     100.6479     103.3814     106.1136
               99.2530      96.5573      99.4939     102.1427
               99.2070      98.1010     100.8820      99.9939         100.2935
 
  1981         97.1897      98.8328      99.3712     100.3102
              100.5163     100.1829     102.4700     102.3536
              100.8332     102.3464      98.9807      96.4141          99.9834
 
  1982         97.1019      99.2555      99.7860      99.8840
               96.3791     101.4787     102.0060     102.3421
              103.0388     105.9968     103.6827      96.4040         100.6130
 
  1983         94.3449      97.0729      98.8296      99.1724
               98.3830     100.9076     101.4811     103.5031
              102.9031      98.9773      99.6569      99.2527          99.5404
 
  1984         99.3741     100.2794      97.7661      98.0242
               99.6167      99.7489     102.4907     101.0283
              101.3508     100.9221      98.5445      98.8179          99.8303
 
  1985         99.8377     101.1562      99.7338      98.0749
               99.7057     100.6521      99.8509     101.2258
              104.3865      98.4752      97.6231     101.2737         100.1663
 
  1986        103.7957      99.4167      99.1340      99.8005
               97.9993     101.9343     100.1026      99.7703
              100.8488     101.3865     104.5482     103.6793         101.0347
 
  1987         99.5742      99.9978     100.6036      96.7228
               96.1997      99.5319     103.9679     102.7389
              101.4221     103.5605     100.0191      96.5963         100.0779
 
  1988         97.7247     100.0198      99.2952      98.3024
               98.6412     100.3167     103.5554     103.3186
              103.8319     100.2001      96.4397      96.6235          99.8557
 
  1989         98.8680      98.0912      99.0880      99.0661
              102.4290     106.0972     102.6498     102.1069
              102.6267      98.4360      97.7290      96.7995         100.3323
 
  1990         97.0512      97.1156     101.9005     105.2675
              102.7074     103.5105     101.9696     102.9986
               98.7567      93.8836      94.5444      98.6627          99.8640
 
  1991         99.0024      97.0273     102.1108     101.5395
              101.8394     102.6330     101.1257     100.4879
               99.2183      97.6809      98.1666      98.1690          99.9167
 
  1992         96.9211      98.8224     102.8646     103.7005
              102.1450      99.6714      99.5357     100.3393
               97.9444      97.3386     100.1581     101.0956         100.0447
 
  1993        103.1843     101.5924     100.8136      99.1220
               99.1553      97.7775      98.8523      95.9093
               98.1022      99.7753     100.7776     102.9694          99.8359
 
  1994        105.0446     100.7864      99.8345      98.3090
               98.8219      98.5126      95.9877      99.1362
               99.4693     100.1008     100.7306     104.1958         100.0775
 
  1995        105.4660     106.1540     100.0197      93.9500
               95.7893      94.1377      94.9550      99.8946
              103.2158     101.6604     101.6366     100.7247          99.8003
 
  1996        103.3540     101.7777     100.1584      99.6404
               97.5572      99.2388      99.2403      97.9688
               99.5556     101.1931      99.8472      99.3938          99.9104
 
  1997        100.4679     102.4439     101.0561     103.9196
              100.2680      97.6205      98.9437     100.2521
              100.5818      97.9022      98.8084     100.5302         100.2329
 
  1998         99.7796      97.1041      99.5453     100.4373
              100.9679     103.3513     102.8791     106.2870
              100.8171      93.5733      96.1500      96.2970          99.7657
 
  1999         94.8748      98.3489     100.8116     101.0638
              103.1816     103.0946     103.8393     100.7348
               97.0593      97.7705      97.5132      96.1005          99.5327
 
  2000         99.1725     103.5849     101.1198     100.9543
              103.7730     101.1871     101.9785     100.3444
               97.5926      97.4061      96.5956      98.3011         100.1675
 
  2001        101.0105      99.4506     102.7699     103.5415
              100.8345     100.5460     101.7926      98.8208
               96.1765      97.7772      97.2086      99.7160          99.9704
 
  2002        102.4431     102.7970     101.3845     102.4033
              100.5012      99.5981      96.2863      97.4930
               98.7693     100.5998      98.8567     100.0405         100.0977
 
  2003         98.8775     100.4455     100.4947     101.7089
               99.6164     100.5378     101.3939     102.5773
              100.9622      98.1500      99.5365      99.3605         100.3051
 
  2004         98.6215      99.2626     100.8163      99.6285
              103.4659     100.6094     100.3715     100.9606
              101.3116     101.1290      98.6011      98.7608         100.2949
 
  2005         98.5346      99.6907      99.4226     100.6058
               99.2133     100.2950     102.3291     100.1482
               99.3944     100.9745     102.4226     101.1499         100.3484
 
  2006         97.9758      99.8381      99.5892     100.1352
               96.5407      99.8630     100.9360     100.3806
              100.6450     101.1369      99.3438      98.5592          99.5786
 
  2007        100.5443     100.3302      97.6327      99.0079
              100.5353     102.4272     102.2954      99.7604
               99.5915     101.2775      97.9918     100.4314         100.1521
 
  2008         97.9590      99.2249      95.2264      98.3622
              100.4602     102.8807     102.7529     105.6736
              104.1951      99.2900      98.0414      93.8975          99.8303
 
  2009         93.8243      97.1604     102.2903     103.5295
              101.7072     102.5658     101.0357     102.1674
               98.7271      98.2078      97.3460      98.2592          99.7351
 
  2010         99.6216      98.8254      99.8321     103.4737
              102.8044     102.7025     100.3235      99.1317
               98.8340      96.3135      97.7208      99.3187          99.9085
 
  2011         99.3654     100.4917     100.8539     103.9803
              102.2836     101.9645     100.7032      97.7860
               97.3397      96.9912      98.2923      99.0732          99.9271
 
  2012         98.5699     100.8107     105.9943     104.4032
              102.1883     101.3053     100.0183      98.6549
               96.8772      96.7363      97.4785      98.3027         100.1116
 
  2013        101.4485     102.9017     102.1726     103.1317
              104.5766      99.1575     100.2824      97.3795
               97.9465      95.7961      97.5743     100.7546         100.2602
 
  2014        101.4841     100.8331     102.1976     103.1258
              102.4490     101.5529      99.2670      98.2322
               97.9934                                                100.7928
 
  AVGE         99.9329     100.0686     100.1706     100.4982
              100.2515     100.4889     100.4686     100.4730
               99.9469      99.2023      99.3564      99.5157

  Table Total-         52518.37   Mean-         100.03   Std. Dev.-           2.27
                                  Min -          93.57        Max -         106.45
        X-12-ARIMA run of EXJPUS            PAGE   5, SERIES EXJPUS

 D 8.A  F-tests for seasonality

    Test for the presence of seasonality assuming stability.

                           Sum of     Dgrs.of         Mean
                          Squares     Freedom        Square       F-Value
    Between months         100.1561       11          9.10510       1.789  
          Residual        2610.6385      513          5.08896
             Total        2710.7946      524

              No evidence of stable seasonality at the 0.1 per cent level.


  Nonparametric Test for the Presence of Seasonality Assuming Stability

                 Kruskal-Wallis      Degrees of    Probability
                   Statistic        Freedom         Level

                      19.7102          11            4.948%

            No evidence of seasonality at the one percent level.


  Moving Seasonality Test
                         Sum of     Dgrs.of         Mean
                        Squares     Freedom        Square       F-value
   Between Years         202.9471       42         4.832075       2.699**
           Error         827.1128      462         1.790287

          **Moving seasonality present at the one percent level.


  COMBINED TEST FOR THE PRESENCE OF IDENTIFIABLE SEASONALITY


            IDENTIFIABLE SEASONALITY NOT PRESENT
        X-12-ARIMA run of EXJPUS            PAGE   6, SERIES EXJPUS

 D 8.B  Final unmodified SI ratios, with labels for outliers and extreme values
  From  1971.Jan to 2014.Sep
  Observations        525
 -----------------------------------------------------------------
                  Jan           Feb           Mar           Apr  
                  May           Jun           Jul           Aug  
                  Sep           Oct           Nov           Dec  
 -----------------------------------------------------------------
  1971        99.8220       98.9841       98.4386       98.1808  
              98.3817       99.3371      100.9070      102.6044* 
              99.9673      100.5381      102.2670      101.5538  
 
  1972       100.5193       98.7141       97.9209       98.2894  
              99.0364       99.2916       99.7547      100.4521  
             100.7131      100.8882      101.5213      102.9070  
 
  1973       104.9648*      98.8712       94.9067*      97.7988  
              98.5780       99.2647       99.8408      100.3371  
             100.2074       99.6674      102.6616      101.6497  
 
  1974       106.4486*     102.5963*      98.5030       96.3034* 
              96.2273*      97.0053*      98.9769      102.0731* 
             100.5874      100.6978      101.2744      101.8934  
 
  1975       102.0215       99.4264       98.1423       99.4105  
              98.8109       99.0995       99.6337       99.7480  
             100.0514      100.6946      100.6742      101.5891  
 
  1976       101.0725       99.9077       99.5462       99.2431  
              99.5264      100.2799       99.6953       99.2143  
              98.5689       99.8673      101.0653      101.1398  
 
  1977       100.8714      100.2025       99.9282       99.4007  
             101.2962      100.3811       97.9566       99.2619  
             100.5945*      98.1939       97.0471*      98.2825* 
 
  1978       100.6929      102.7584*     101.6737      100.0082  
             104.8619*     101.9485       97.6704       94.8987* 
              97.8001       95.6786*      99.9639      101.0153  
 
  1979       100.4779       99.9662      100.5472      102.8752* 
             101.8428      100.7572       99.0207       98.1746* 
              97.6493       98.4075      102.4019       99.2257  
 
  1980        97.7488      100.6479      103.3814*     106.1136* 
              99.2530       96.5573*      99.4939      102.1427  
              99.2070       98.1010      100.8820       99.9939  
 
  1981        97.1897       98.8328       99.3712      100.3102  
             100.5163      100.1829      102.4700      102.3536  
             100.8332      102.3464*      98.9807       96.4141* 
 
  1982        97.1019       99.2555       99.7860       99.8840  
              96.3791*     101.4787      102.0060      102.3421  
             103.0388      105.9968*     103.6827*      96.4040* 
 
  1983        94.3449*      97.0729*      98.8296       99.1724  
              98.3830      100.9076      101.4811      103.5031  
             102.9031       98.9773       99.6569       99.2527  
 
  1984        99.3741      100.2794       97.7661       98.0242  
              99.6167       99.7489      102.4907      101.0283  
             101.3508      100.9221       98.5445       98.8179  
 
  1985        99.8377      101.1562       99.7338       98.0749  
              99.7057      100.6521       99.8509      101.2258  
             104.3865*      98.4752       97.6231      101.2737  
 
  1986       103.7957*      99.4167       99.1340       99.8005  
              97.9993      101.9343      100.1026       99.7703* 
             100.8488      101.3865      104.5482*     103.6793* 
 
  1987        99.5742       99.9978      100.6036       96.7228  
              96.1997*      99.5319      103.9679      102.7389  
             101.4221      103.5605*     100.0191       96.5963  
 
  1988        97.7247      100.0198       99.2952       98.3024  
              98.6412      100.3167      103.5554      103.3186  
             103.8319      100.2001       96.4397       96.6235  
 
  1989        98.8680       98.0912       99.0880       99.0661  
             102.4290      106.0972*     102.6498      102.1069  
             102.6267       98.4360       97.7290       96.7995  
 
  1990        97.0512       97.1156      101.9005      105.2675* 
             102.7074      103.5105      101.9696      102.9986  
              98.7567       93.8836*      94.5444*      98.6627  
 
  1991        99.0024       97.0273      102.1108      101.5395  
             101.8394      102.6330      101.1257      100.4879  
              99.2183       97.6809       98.1666       98.1690  
 
  1992        96.9211*      98.8224      102.8646      103.7005* 
             102.1450       99.6714       99.5357      100.3393  
              97.9444       97.3386      100.1581      101.0956  
 
  1993       103.1843      101.5924      100.8136       99.1220  
              99.1553       97.7775       98.8523       95.9093* 
              98.1022       99.7753      100.7776      102.9694  
 
  1994       105.0446      100.7864       99.8345       98.3090  
              98.8219       98.5126       95.9877       99.1362  
              99.4693      100.1008      100.7306      104.1958* 
 
  1995       105.4660      106.1540*     100.0197       93.9500* 
              95.7893       94.1377*      94.9550*      99.8946  
             103.2158*     101.6604      101.6366      100.7247  
 
  1996       103.3540      101.7777      100.1584       99.6404  
              97.5572       99.2388       99.2403       97.9688  
              99.5556      101.1931       99.8472       99.3938  
 
  1997       100.4679      102.4439      101.0561      103.9196* 
             100.2680       97.6205*      98.9437      100.2521  
             100.5818       97.9022       98.8084      100.5302  
 
  1998        99.7796       97.1041*      99.5453      100.4373  
             100.9679      103.3513      102.8791      106.2870* 
             100.8171       93.5733*      96.1500       96.2970  
 
  1999        94.8748*      98.3489      100.8116      101.0638  
             103.1816      103.0946      103.8393      100.7348  
              97.0593       97.7705       97.5132       96.1005  
 
  2000        99.1725      103.5849*     101.1198      100.9543  
             103.7730      101.1871      101.9785      100.3444  
              97.5926       97.4061       96.5956       98.3011  
 
  2001       101.0105       99.4506      102.7699      103.5415  
             100.8345      100.5460      101.7926       98.8208  
              96.1765*      97.7772       97.2086       99.7160  
 
  2002       102.4431*     102.7970*     101.3845      102.4033  
             100.5012       99.5981       96.2863*      97.4930  
              98.7693      100.5998*      98.8567      100.0405  
 
  2003        98.8775      100.4455      100.4947      101.7089  
              99.6164      100.5378      101.3939      102.5773* 
             100.9622       98.1500       99.5365       99.3605  
 
  2004        98.6215       99.2626      100.8163       99.6285* 
             103.4659*     100.6094      100.3715      100.9606  
             101.3116      101.1290       98.6011       98.7608  
 
  2005        98.5346       99.6907       99.4226      100.6058  
              99.2133      100.2950      102.3291      100.1482  
              99.3944      100.9745      102.4226*     101.1499  
 
  2006        97.9758       99.8381       99.5892      100.1352  
              96.5407*      99.8630      100.9360      100.3806  
             100.6450      101.1369       99.3438       98.5592  
 
  2007       100.5443*     100.3302       97.6327       99.0079  
             100.5353      102.4272      102.2954       99.7604  
              99.5915      101.2775       97.9918      100.4314  
 
  2008        97.9590       99.2249       95.2264*      98.3622* 
             100.4602      102.8807      102.7529      105.6736* 
             104.1951*      99.2900       98.0414       93.8975* 
 
  2009        93.8243*      97.1604*     102.2903*     103.5295  
             101.7072      102.5658      101.0357      102.1674* 
              98.7271       98.2078       97.3460       98.2592  
 
  2010        99.6216       98.8254       99.8321      103.4737  
             102.8044      102.7025      100.3235       99.1317  
              98.8340       96.3135       97.7208       99.3187  
 
  2011        99.3654      100.4917      100.8539      103.9803  
             102.2836      101.9645      100.7032       97.7860  
              97.3397       96.9912       98.2923       99.0732  
 
  2012        98.5699*     100.8107      105.9943*     104.4032  
             102.1883      101.3053      100.0183       98.6549  
              96.8772       96.7363       97.4785       98.3027  
 
  2013       101.4485      102.9017*     102.1726      103.1317  
             104.5766*      99.1575*     100.2824       97.3795  
              97.9465       95.7961       97.5743      100.7546* 
 
  2014       101.4841      100.8331      102.1976      103.1258  
             102.4490      101.5529       99.2670       98.2322  
              97.9934                                            
 

  Key to symbols:
    *  : extreme value as determined by X-11 extreme value procedure
 
        X-12-ARIMA run of EXJPUS            PAGE   7, SERIES EXJPUS

 D 9  Final replacement values for SI ratios
  From  1971.Jan to 2014.Sep
  Observations        525
 -------------------------------------------------------------
                  Jan          Feb          Mar          Apr 
                  May          Jun          Jul          Aug 
                  Sep          Oct          Nov          Dec 
 -------------------------------------------------------------
  1971    ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************     102.0309
          ************ ************ ************ ************
 
  1972    ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
 
  1973        101.1253 ************      98.3477 ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
 
  1974        101.6886      99.7618 ************      98.5486
               98.7497      99.0563 ************     100.0039
          ************ ************ ************ ************
 
  1975    ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
 
  1976    ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
 
  1977    ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
              100.2457 ************     100.8027      99.0954
 
  1978    ************     101.5859 ************ ************
              100.9720 ************ ************      99.3148
          ************      97.2704 ************ ************
 
  1979    ************ ************ ************     102.5478
          ************ ************ ************      98.2449
          ************ ************ ************ ************
 
  1980    ************ ************     103.1374     100.8143
          ************     101.0088 ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
 
  1981    ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************     101.8176 ************      97.4256
 
  1982    ************ ************ ************ ************
               97.2362 ************ ************ ************
          ************     100.5516     101.0769      97.4713
 
  1983         98.4945      97.4911 ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
 
  1984    ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
 
  1985    ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
              103.6871 ************ ************ ************
 
  1986         99.8677 ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************     100.5763
          ************ ************      99.1566      99.3540
 
  1987    ************ ************ ************ ************
               97.9620 ************ ************ ************
          ************     101.3429 ************ ************
 
  1988    ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
 
  1989    ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************     101.9766 ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
 
  1990    ************ ************ ************     100.0581
          ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************      98.0219      96.0612 ************
 
  1991    ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
 
  1992        101.1013 ************ ************     100.1056
          ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
 
  1993    ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************      98.9953
          ************ ************ ************ ************
 
  1994    ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************     103.6726
 
  1995    ************     101.3391 ************      98.8899
          ************      98.4842      95.3530 ************
               99.7339 ************ ************ ************
 
  1996    ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
 
  1997    ************ ************ ************     100.4139
          ************      99.2738 ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
 
  1998    ************      98.9165 ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************     100.1610
          ************      98.6451 ************ ************
 
  1999         99.4148 ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
 
  2000    ************     101.0932 ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
 
  2001    ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
               96.7039 ************ ************ ************
 
  2002        100.9696     102.3289 ************ ************
          ************ ************     101.1944 ************
          ************      99.9621 ************ ************
 
  2003    ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************     100.1852
          ************ ************ ************ ************
 
  2004    ************ ************ ************      99.7341
              100.3694 ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
 
  2005    ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************      99.3669 ************
 
  2006    ************ ************ ************ ************
               99.7307 ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
 
  2007        100.0790 ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
 
  2008    ************ ************      98.4818      99.7251
          ************ ************ ************     101.1224
              100.0507 ************ ************      98.4347
 
  2009         98.3487      97.4225      99.0771 ************
          ************ ************ ************     101.5420
          ************ ************ ************ ************
 
  2010    ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
 
  2011    ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
 
  2012         99.9089 ************     101.5390 ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
 
  2013    ************     101.1212 ************ ************
              102.8041     101.5210 ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************      99.5726
 
  2014    ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************ ************ ************ ************
          ************                                       
 

 D 9.A  Moving seasonality ratio
 -------------------------------------------------------------
                  Jan          Feb          Mar          Apr 
 -------------------------------------------------------------
   I             0.857        1.156        0.982        0.919
   S             0.336        0.227        0.277        0.281
 RATIO           2.553        5.101        3.550        3.271



 -------------------------------------------------------------
                  May          Jun          Jul          Aug 
 -------------------------------------------------------------
   I             1.070        0.939        1.046        1.023
   S             0.314        0.254        0.328        0.267
 RATIO           3.408        3.703        3.192        3.827



 -------------------------------------------------------------
                  Sep          Oct          Nov          Dec 
 -------------------------------------------------------------
   I             1.158        1.120        1.052        1.340
   S             0.322        0.319        0.273        0.295
 RATIO           3.599        3.510        3.854        4.539



        X-12-ARIMA run of EXJPUS            PAGE   8, SERIES EXJPUS

 D 10  Final seasonal factors
  From  1971.Jan to 2014.Sep
  Observations        525
  Seasonal filter    3 x 5 moving average
 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  Jan          Feb          Mar          Apr 
                  May          Jun          Jul          Aug 
                  Sep          Oct          Nov          Dec            AVGE  
 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  1971        100.6955      99.0185      98.3018      98.1845
               98.7041      99.2878     100.0154     100.8174
              100.3544     100.4249     102.0242     102.0213          99.9875
 
  1972        100.8209      99.0779      98.3006      98.2829
               98.7155      99.2721      99.9378     100.6983
              100.3338     100.4379     101.8700     101.9541          99.9752
 
  1973        101.0150      99.1878      98.3690      98.4546
               98.8070      99.3208      99.7915     100.4090
              100.2358     100.4209     101.6486     101.8682          99.9607
 
  1974        101.1795      99.3513      98.5492      98.6730
               99.0437      99.4589      99.6016     100.1027
              100.0987     100.2091     101.4236     101.5316          99.9352
 
  1975        101.2274      99.6690      98.9606      98.9603
               99.4366      99.7845      99.2744      99.7945
               99.8405      99.8409     101.1182     101.2026          99.9258
 
  1976        101.1305      99.9455      99.4365      99.4413
               99.9442     100.1403      99.0223      99.5529
               99.4686      99.3555     100.9768     100.7426          99.9298
 
  1977        100.7434     100.2137     100.1107      99.9330
              100.3209     100.5326      98.8473      99.5233
               99.0720      98.8991     100.9227     100.4645          99.9652
 
  1978        100.1615     100.2537     100.5602     100.3312
              100.5756     100.7267      99.0020      99.7613
               98.9661      98.7145     100.9140      99.9952          99.9968
 
  1979         99.4194     100.2288     100.8709     100.4981
              100.3600     100.8795      99.3986     100.2953
               99.2432      98.8526     100.8461      99.5879         100.0400
 
  1980         98.8145      99.8576     100.6754     100.5323
               99.9591     100.8546     100.0782     100.9482
               99.8835      99.2392     100.7146      99.1350         100.0577
 
  1981         98.3642      99.5631     100.3089     100.2198
               99.3836     100.8026     100.8190     101.5833
              100.6273      99.6667     100.4400      98.8586         100.0531
 
  1982         98.2742      99.3570      99.7258      99.6997
               99.1275     100.6791     101.3431     101.9750
              101.4806      99.9333      99.9036      98.7506         100.0208
 
  1983         98.4795      99.4448      99.3223      99.2263
               98.8905     100.7430     101.4583     101.9876
              102.0221     100.0787      99.4105      98.9018          99.9971
 
  1984         98.9334      99.5488      99.1370      98.8213
               98.8206     100.7193     101.4777     101.8596
              102.2224     100.1200      99.1223      99.0464          99.9857
 
  1985         99.2104      99.7839      99.1927      98.5119
               98.7093     100.6685     101.6106     101.7938
              102.2197     100.2581      98.8623      98.9386          99.9800
 
  1986         99.2792      99.8301      99.3292      98.2781
               98.9359     100.6347     101.9031     101.9211
              102.3101     100.2587      98.5341      98.5623          99.9814
 
  1987         98.9865      99.5573      99.5718      98.4135
               99.3372     100.9372     102.2014     102.1212
              102.1573     100.1585      98.1581      98.0622          99.9719
 
  1988         98.6925      98.9687      99.9950      98.7439
              100.0013     101.3335     102.4223     102.2977
              101.7913      99.6931      97.9017      97.6449          99.9572
 
  1989         98.5391      98.4723     100.5217      99.2677
              100.7890     101.6120     102.3266     102.2009
              101.0591      99.0924      97.6954      97.6676          99.9370
 
  1990         98.9561      98.3840     101.0370      99.7302
              101.4091     101.5074     101.7492     101.6761
              100.2589      98.4870      97.8919      98.3068          99.9495
 
  1991         99.8616      98.6472     101.4100     100.0196
              101.5158     101.1162     100.6542     100.9538
               99.3566      98.2489      98.3786      99.5205          99.9736
 
  1992        101.2527      99.2752     101.4881      99.9639
              100.8291     100.3538      99.4393     100.2389
               98.8087      98.5692      99.2549     100.5709         100.0037
 
  1993        102.5433     100.0678     101.2738      99.6727
               99.8015      99.5435      98.4440      99.6984
               98.7217      99.1961      99.9707     101.2676         100.0168
 
  1994        103.3462     100.8772     100.8415      99.4208
               98.8766      98.9355      97.8706      99.4028
               99.0865      99.8036     100.4274     101.4585         100.0289
 
  1995        103.3158     101.1650     100.3976      99.3036
               98.5297      99.0491      98.0197      99.4006
               99.5715     100.0853     100.1893     101.0597         100.0072
 
  1996        102.6229     100.9791     100.1681      99.5302
               98.7808      99.7019      98.8144      99.6480
               99.8394      99.9507      99.6024     100.0627          99.9750
 
  1997        101.5628     100.5621     100.1739      99.9174
               99.7261     100.5769     100.0690      99.8786
               99.7210      99.4221      98.7180      98.9345          99.9385
 
  1998        100.6112     100.2323     100.5062     100.5401
              100.8098     101.1678     101.1864     100.0300
               99.1802      98.7122      97.9624      98.2838          99.9352
 
  1999        100.0907     100.1023     100.8350     101.1161
              101.6006     101.4524     101.9091      99.8737
               98.6633      98.2780      97.4217      98.1195          99.9552
 
  2000         99.9543     100.1117     101.1598     101.6423
              101.7591     101.3489     102.0856      99.6911
               98.3039      98.1181      97.4692      98.3339          99.9981
 
  2001         99.9236     100.3344     101.2953     101.7821
              101.4784     100.9817     101.8662      99.4922
               98.4540      98.4360      97.7798      98.7086         100.0444
 
  2002         99.8027     100.4368     101.2617     101.7565
              100.8866     100.5419     101.5286      99.4746
               98.8605      98.8822      98.2924      99.3036         100.0857
 
  2003         99.5205     100.4399     100.9316     101.3908
              100.2880     100.2531     101.2575      99.5826
               99.5471      99.6045      98.7262      99.6058         100.0956
 
  2004         99.2006     100.2049     100.3258     100.8992
               99.9092     100.3446     101.3124      99.8398
              100.0004     100.1753      99.0064      99.7315         100.0792
 
  2005         98.8527      99.9849      99.7027     100.3012
               99.9003     100.6724     101.4510     100.1872
              100.2893     100.5712      98.9728      99.5859         100.0393
 
  2006         98.6700      99.6018      99.1776     100.2062
              100.0854     101.1929     101.6975     100.4687
              100.1253     100.5254      98.6903      99.4664          99.9923
 
  2007         98.6228      99.3172      98.9448     100.5284
              100.4994     101.6781     101.7365     100.5279
               99.8660     100.0818      98.3628      99.2104          99.9480
 
  2008         98.7361      99.1609      98.9372     101.2472
              101.0301     102.1362     101.6539     100.3412
               99.4290      99.2729      98.0677      99.0649          99.9231
 
  2009         98.8819      99.1837      99.3190     102.0697
              101.5678     102.3823     101.3705     100.0298
               98.9767      98.3594      97.8321      98.8272          99.9000
 
  2010         99.1991      99.3979      99.9339     102.9390
              102.0239     102.3644     101.0323      99.5150
               98.4043      97.5237      97.6892      98.8014          99.9020
 
  2011         99.6478      99.8086     100.6684     103.5056
              102.3354     102.1215     100.5841      98.9506
               98.0154      96.8728      97.6726      98.8157          99.9166
 
  2012        100.1723     100.3105     101.2583     103.7128
              102.4960     101.8616     100.2588      98.3912
               97.7376      96.5486      97.7041      98.9638          99.9513
 
  2013        100.5503     100.7038     101.6404     103.6545
              102.4969     101.6629     100.0623      98.1103
               97.6326      96.4658      97.7604      99.0257          99.9805
 
  2014        100.7089     100.8611     101.8120     103.6274
              102.4606     101.5450      99.9925      98.0527
               97.5750                                                100.7372
 
  AVGE        100.0130      99.8064     100.1304     100.2943
              100.2490     100.7473     100.6040     100.2977
               99.7684      99.2522      99.2170      99.5341

  Table Total-         52498.21   Mean-         100.00   Std. Dev.-           1.26
                                  Min -          96.47        Max -         103.71

 D 10.A  Final seasonal component forecasts
  From  2014.Oct to 2015.Sep
  Observations         12
 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  Jan          Feb          Mar          Apr 
                  May          Jun          Jul          Aug 
                  Sep          Oct          Nov          Dec            AVGE  
 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  2014                                                       
                                                             
                            96.4244      97.7886      99.0566          97.7565
 
  2015        100.7881     100.9398     101.8978     103.6138
              102.4425     101.4861      99.9575      98.0239
               97.5462                                                100.7440
 
        X-12-ARIMA run of EXJPUS            PAGE   9, SERIES EXJPUS

 D 11  Final seasonally adjusted data
  From  1971.Jan to 2014.Sep
  Observations        525
 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  Jan          Feb          Mar          Apr 
                  May          Jun          Jul          Aug 
                  Sep          Oct          Nov          Dec           TOTAL  
 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  1971        355.5473     361.0893     363.6949     364.1139
              362.1054     359.9755     357.3494     352.8954
              336.8272     329.7096     322.2294     313.7313        4179.2686
 
  1972        310.1736     308.0273     307.7666     308.8641
              308.3400     304.6318     301.2180     299.0724
              300.1172     299.6986     295.4633     295.4669        3638.8399
 
  1973        298.7559     280.7004     266.2439     269.6587
              267.8459     266.3068     265.1067     264.1397
              264.8502     265.2184     273.7495     275.0391        3257.6153
 
  1974        294.6582     292.9878     286.3188     281.5096
              281.6600     284.5094     292.1439     301.9734
              298.7890     298.7399     295.8631     295.8797        3505.0328
 
  1975        296.0508     292.6270     290.9730     295.2665
              293.0816     294.1001     298.5404     298.5897
              300.3882     302.8182     299.1996     302.0377        3563.6727
 
  1976        301.2303     301.7589     302.2212     300.7890
              299.1708     298.7716     297.5503     291.9311
              288.8962     293.0778     292.3100     292.5294        3560.2366
 
  1977        288.9047     284.4144     279.9166     275.3916
              276.5389     271.4154     267.9519     267.9549
              269.2689     257.5803     242.4654     239.9085        3221.7115
 
  1978        240.6924     239.7639     230.5658     221.1246
              224.8842     212.5617     201.7085     189.1611
              191.9036     186.0223     190.4023     195.9644        2524.7546
 
  1979        198.9099     200.0494     204.5423     215.2131
              217.6306     216.6910     217.8200     217.2840
              224.1097     233.1598     242.9289     241.3693        2629.7080
 
  1980        240.7427     244.6984     246.8118     248.9500
              228.7221     216.0712     220.9637     221.8107
              214.6668     210.9274     211.5938     211.3164        2717.2748
 
  1981        205.7322     206.6194     208.1488     214.5045
              221.9969     222.3955     230.4387     229.6895
              228.0504     232.2931     222.1493     221.4826        2643.5007
 
  1982        228.7528     236.8285     241.8917     244.8421
              239.0493     249.5033     251.6511     254.0285
              259.4445     271.7964     264.3427     245.0022        2987.1331
 
  1983        236.3243     237.4394     239.8800     239.6006
              237.3896     238.2612     237.0590     239.6972
              237.5429     232.7025     236.4237     237.0659        2849.3862
 
  1984        236.3206     234.6550     227.2273     227.8862
              233.2285     231.8976     239.5281     237.8381
              240.1203     246.4588     245.7879     250.3515        2851.2998
 
  1985        256.2060     261.0419     260.0197     255.6497
              255.0211     247.1876     237.3143     233.2765
              231.3912     214.1278     206.4222     204.9635        2862.6214
 
  1986        201.3418     185.1661     179.9006     178.1596
              168.8278     166.4852     155.6438     151.2711
              151.2377     156.0686     165.2722     164.4162        2023.7906
 
  1987        156.4148     154.0890     152.0844     145.2023
              141.4163     143.2074     147.0566     144.2740
              140.2650     143.0933     137.9381     130.7760        1735.8169
 
  1988        129.3769     130.5125     127.1203     126.4864
              124.7855     125.7882     129.8755     130.7616
              131.9539     129.0767     125.8425     126.5889        1538.1688
 
  1989        129.2507     129.7191     129.8728     133.0105
              136.7844     141.6967     137.2312     138.4383
              143.5496     143.5092     146.9202     147.1163        1657.0991
 
  1990        146.5114     148.0863     151.7348     158.8873
              151.9036     151.4133     146.4774     145.0301
              138.0829     131.5817     131.9982     136.1950        1737.9021
 
  1991        133.8839     132.3259     135.4765     137.0858
              136.1579     138.2048     136.9342     135.5238
              135.1692     133.1031     131.7686     128.6564        1614.2901
 
  1992        123.9092     128.6312     130.9146     133.5877
              129.6957     126.3884     126.5915     125.9301
              124.0749     122.9239     124.8099     123.3367        1520.7938
 
  1993        121.8931     120.6777     115.5455     112.7805
              110.5625     107.9044     109.3935     104.0789
              106.9418     107.8874     107.9082     108.5372        1334.1107
 
  1994        107.8331     105.3767     104.2204     104.0872
              104.9321     103.6296     100.5869     100.5409
               99.6849      98.5465      97.6268      98.7423        1225.8075
 
  1995         96.5642      97.1056      90.1612      84.2764
               86.3828      85.4480      89.1627      95.3096
              100.9782     100.7531     101.7474     100.7815        1128.6706
 
  1996        103.0485     104.7623     105.7622     107.7055
              107.6549     109.2858     110.5010     108.2469
              110.1079     112.4678     112.7441     113.9096        1306.1964
 
  1997        116.0981     122.2748     122.5606     125.7415
              119.5198     113.6301     115.2964     118.0729
              121.2282     121.7642     127.0100     131.1313        1454.3279
 
  1998        128.7605     125.5599     128.4322     131.0458
              133.8124     138.7106     139.1366     144.6367
              135.5921     122.6278     122.7914     119.1151        1570.2213
 
  1999        113.1873     116.5491     118.4836     118.4503
              120.0775     118.9962     117.0950     113.3699
              108.3231     107.8216     107.4181     104.5504        1364.3222
 
  2000        105.3442     109.2665     105.0886     103.9203
              106.4480     104.7131     106.0008     108.4153
              108.6808     110.5228     111.8400     114.1102        1294.3506
 
  2001        116.7611     115.8463     119.9512     121.6039
              119.9942     121.1615     122.2173     121.9864
              120.4742     123.3833     125.1849     129.2638        1457.8281
 
  2002        132.9456     133.0613     129.4280     128.5144
              125.2644     122.6260     116.1240     119.6212
              122.4735     125.3084     123.7206     122.7477        1501.8352
 
  2003        119.3857     118.8152     117.5916     118.2503
              117.0310     118.0303     117.2218     119.1598
              115.3223     109.9303     110.5864     108.1641        1389.4890
 
  2004        107.1248     106.4898     108.1633     106.6970
              112.2980     109.0578     108.0688     110.4105
              110.0910     108.5931     105.7497     104.0899        1296.8336
 
  2005        104.5404     104.9601     105.5681     106.8719
              106.7015     108.0210     110.3523     110.3998
              110.9181     114.2170     119.6833     118.9550        1321.1886
 
  2006        117.0330     118.3317     118.2503     116.8286
              111.6352     113.2737     113.8346     115.3835
              117.0678     117.9890     118.8774     117.9514        1396.4564
 
  2007        122.1291     121.3332     118.5105     118.3072
              120.1730     120.6637     119.3424     116.1205
              115.1978     115.7714     112.9216     113.3439        1413.8145
 
  2008        109.1982     107.9357     101.8385     101.4129
              103.2954     104.6791     105.1133     108.9905
              107.1869     100.6980      98.8762      92.1366        1241.3613
 
  2009         91.1395      93.6805      98.5259      96.9142
               95.1527      94.3664      93.0911      94.8688
               92.2185      91.8744      91.2455      91.0183        1124.0959
 
  2010         91.8367      90.6855      90.7761      90.7845
               90.1485      88.7085      86.6064      85.7888
               85.7251      83.8037      84.4699      84.3486        1053.6823
 
  2011         82.9170      82.6950      81.1049      80.3600
               79.2743      78.7551      78.7823      77.7820
               78.3506      79.1171      79.4076      78.7291         957.2751
 
  2012         76.8316      78.2271      81.4411      78.3436
               77.7267      77.8657      78.7311      79.9775
               79.9439      81.8377      82.9346      84.6678         958.5284
 
  2013         88.5707      92.3516      93.2405      94.3116
               98.4602      95.6446      99.6106      99.6962
              101.6156     101.3520     102.3663     104.4780        1171.6978
 
  2014        103.0311     101.2534     100.5181      98.8718
               99.3297     100.5100     101.7477     104.9882
              107.6454                                                917.8953
 
  AVGE        167.4060     167.2380     166.3293     166.4060
              165.5025     164.6169     164.4130     164.2822
              163.7834     164.4175     163.9765     163.2550

  Table Total-         86699.91   Mean-         165.14   Std. Dev.-          75.03
                                  Min -          76.83        Max -         364.11

                    Test for the presence of residual seasonality.

       No evidence of residual seasonality in the entire series at the
            1 per cent level.  F =      0.06

       No evidence of residual seasonality in the last 3 years at the
            1 per cent level.  F =      0.36

       No evidence of residual seasonality in the last 3 years at the
            5 per cent level.

 Note: sudden large changes in the level of the adjusted series will
       invalidate the results of this test for the last three year period.
        X-12-ARIMA run of EXJPUS            PAGE  10, SERIES EXJPUS

 D 12  Final trend cycle
  From  1971.Jan to 2014.Sep
  Observations        525
  Trend filter     9-term Henderson moving average
  I/C ratio        0.94
 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  Jan          Feb          Mar          Apr 
                  May          Jun          Jul          Aug 
                  Sep          Oct          Nov          Dec           TOTAL  
 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  1971        358.0990     360.5977     362.4260     363.3632
              363.1148     360.6400     355.8464     348.5882
              339.4446     329.8036     321.2749     314.7799        4177.9784
 
  1972        310.5022     308.4168     308.1315     308.0944
              306.9343     304.6293     302.1766     300.3478
              299.4732     298.7807     296.9126     293.2331        3637.6326
 
  1973        287.8307     281.5547     275.5182     270.7886
              267.7661     265.9154     264.6255     264.1713
              264.9294     267.4249     271.5060     276.3191        3258.3499
 
  1974        280.7957     284.2141     286.5006     288.0166
              289.1088     290.7568     293.1814     295.7402
              297.4778     297.9803     297.3859     295.9202        3497.0784
 
  1975        294.4593     293.4514     292.8231     292.8884
              293.8640     295.3560     297.2136     299.0683
              300.5059     301.0686     301.1866     301.3311        3563.2163
 
  1976        301.5700     301.7887     301.5866     300.9528
              300.0456     298.1547     295.5801     293.1059
              291.6974     291.6757     292.1383     291.4910        3559.7868
 
  1977        288.6087     284.4812     280.5160     277.0464
              274.0877     271.8995     270.1361     268.0691
              264.3907     258.6277     251.5523     245.1440        3234.5595
 
  1978        240.0419     235.1899     229.6844     223.3853
              216.6076     209.9993     203.4169     197.0574
              192.2272     190.4407     191.5219     194.0576        2523.6301
 
  1979        197.5533     201.8638     206.8897     211.9935
              215.6991     217.1286     217.5396     219.9832
              225.7178     232.7390     238.5429     242.3343        2627.9847
 
  1980        244.1566     244.0937     241.9191     237.2685
              231.2314     225.9081     222.0119     218.7526
              215.6685     212.9497     210.7188     208.7403        2713.4192
 
  1981        207.2738     207.2623     209.5696     214.2489
              219.9572     224.7356     228.2081     229.7628
              229.1978     227.0186     225.0954     225.7724        2648.1026
 
  1982        229.7019     235.2515     240.1970     243.2552
              245.3764     247.9937     251.5518     255.4751
              257.9176     257.8765     255.1776     250.2481        2970.0224
 
  1983        245.0962     241.3119     239.2706     238.4126
              238.0476     238.2465     238.1081     237.5871
              236.6906     235.9456     236.0571     236.2526        2861.0266
 
  1984        235.2054     232.7912     230.1524     229.4344
              231.0189     233.7745     236.6600     239.0772
              241.4086     244.0016     247.3492     251.8003        2852.6735
 
  1985        255.9571     258.9432     259.8097     257.5857
              252.7274     246.8250     240.4634     233.1089
              225.1990     217.2508     209.1239     201.0366        2858.0307
 
  1986        193.8002     187.0913     180.9585     175.6055
              170.1432     163.6268     157.4745     153.6248
              152.8949     154.3722     156.3938     157.2758        2003.2614
 
  1987        156.4561     153.9685     150.3887     146.9402
              144.9756     144.4369     144.3772     143.8949
              142.1553     139.2352     135.9277     132.9445        1735.7009
 
  1988        130.4664     128.6479     127.2706     126.1854
              125.7913     126.8820     128.9832     130.5060
              130.4147     128.9846     127.6161     127.2482        1538.9964
 
  1989        127.8837     129.3853     131.2478     133.2032
              134.9398     136.4720     137.8568     139.6141
              142.0195     144.3997     145.8862     146.7742        1649.6821
 
  1990        147.6458     148.8969     150.4330     151.6388
              151.7637     150.2613     147.3899     143.5698
              139.7676     137.0428     135.3342     134.2994        1738.0432
 
  1991        133.9711     134.1025     134.9197     136.1112
              137.1391     137.3744     136.9019     136.0829
              134.7542     133.0326     131.2179     129.7904        1615.3979
 
  1992        129.1291     129.3150     129.6511     129.4887
              128.6884     127.6020     126.3400     125.2663
              124.4922     124.0629     123.8163     123.3746        1521.2266
 
  1993        121.9999     119.5009     116.2099     113.0158
              110.5141     108.9457     108.1120     107.6343
              107.5193     107.7506     108.0663     108.0152        1337.2841
 
  1994        107.1378     105.8932     104.9664     104.4073
              103.8951     103.0230     101.7518     100.3891
               99.3613      98.8360      98.3584      97.3721        1225.3915
 
  1995         95.6957      93.1480      90.4108      88.2866
               87.6054      88.5630      90.9902      94.3883
               97.6412      99.9160     101.2519     102.0349        1129.9323
 
  1996        103.0805     104.4294     105.9013     107.2908
              108.3265     108.9460     109.3023     109.7198
              110.4263     111.2969     112.7080     114.8761        1306.3039
 
  1997        117.6166     120.4161     121.9260     121.2055
              118.9074     116.8936     116.4104     117.5390
              120.2333     123.6897     126.7312     128.5683        1450.1370
 
  1998        129.0652     128.7879     129.1581     131.3476
              134.5410     137.2816     138.4952     137.3926
              133.8965     129.0011     123.9980     120.0291        1572.9938
 
  1999        117.8185     117.4273     118.0320     118.9241
              119.4531     118.7116     116.3387     113.1717
              110.0412     107.6435     106.2725     105.7852        1369.6194
 
  2000        105.5163     105.3353     105.2586     105.0781
              105.0305     105.5056     106.4469     107.5903
              108.9052     110.5611     112.2045     113.9150        1291.3473
 
  2001        115.8167     117.6597     119.2085     120.3311
              121.0992     121.4201     121.4487     121.5960
              122.1320     123.4524     125.9128     128.7352        1458.8125
 
  2002        130.7961     131.3369     130.2307     128.0316
              125.4025     122.9728     121.5282     121.3771
              122.3618     123.3537     123.4183     122.2183        1503.0279
 
  2003        120.3615     118.8092     117.9497     117.6825
              117.6739     117.7081     117.2825     116.0634
              114.1394     111.8634     109.7285     108.1935        1387.4556
 
  2004        107.3335     107.0321     107.2215     107.7488
              108.2442     108.7781     109.3969     109.7901
              109.3655     108.0905     106.3110     104.8445        1294.1567
 
  2005        104.4201     104.8361     105.5542     106.3469
              107.2938     108.3043     109.3345     110.4711
              112.0796     114.0472     116.0407     117.5712        1316.2999
 
  2006        118.2751     118.2848     117.7112     116.5632
              115.1779     114.1563     114.2017     115.2810
              116.6124     117.7287     118.7282     119.6596        1402.3801
 
  2007        120.1667     120.0823     119.7029     119.5576
              119.6856     119.6105     118.7840     117.2458
              115.8241     114.7622     113.6881     112.1497        1411.2595
 
  2008        109.9426     107.4195     105.1959     103.8644
              103.7113     104.2007     104.6169     104.2047
              102.8072     100.8658      98.7172      96.7114        1242.2576
 
  2009         95.4223      95.0730      95.3604      95.5659
               95.3259      94.6584      93.8451      93.1884
               92.5532      91.9183      91.4573      91.2259        1125.5942
 
  2010         91.1792      91.0995      90.9742      90.5799
               89.7381      88.5603      87.1676      85.9257
               85.1040      84.6197      84.2793      83.8611        1053.0885
 
  2011         83.2592      82.3812      81.2767      80.2885
               79.4541      78.7812      78.3766      78.2993
               78.5537      78.8527      78.9523      78.7339         957.2095
 
  2012         78.3649      78.1226      78.0179      77.9405
               77.9582      78.1676      78.6884      79.4751
               80.3812      81.5031      83.1211      85.3921         957.1326
 
  2013         88.0241      90.6238      92.9292      94.8714
               96.5149      98.0159      99.2698     100.2480
              101.0442     101.8658     102.5467     102.8616        1168.8155
 
  2014        102.5057     101.5202     100.2799      99.4120
               99.3853     100.5414     102.4580     104.6649
              106.9596                                                917.7270
 
  AVGE        167.2728     166.8600     166.4395     166.0056
              165.5447     165.0537     164.5520     164.0479
              163.5542     164.3333     163.8193     163.3238

  Table Total-         86664.03   Mean-         165.07   Std. Dev.-          74.93
                                  Min -          77.94        Max -         363.36
        X-12-ARIMA run of EXJPUS            PAGE  11, SERIES EXJPUS

 D 13  Final irregular component
  From  1971.Jan to 2014.Sep
  Observations        525
 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  Jan          Feb          Mar          Apr 
                  May          Jun          Jul          Aug 
                  Sep          Oct          Nov          Dec            S.D.  
 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  1971         99.2874     100.1363     100.3501     100.2066
               99.7220      99.8157     100.4224     101.2356
               99.2289      99.9715     100.2971      99.6669           0.5246
 
  1972         99.8942      99.8737      99.8816     100.2498
              100.4580     100.0008      99.6828      99.5753
              100.2151     100.3072      99.5119     100.7618           0.3598
 
  1973        103.7957      99.6966      96.6339      99.5827
              100.0298     100.1472     100.1818      99.9881
               99.9701      99.1749     100.8263      99.5368           1.5176
 
  1974        104.9369     103.0870      99.9366      97.7408
               97.4235      97.8513      99.6461     102.1077
              100.4408     100.2549      99.4879      99.9863           2.1478
 
  1975        100.5405      99.7190      99.3682     100.8120
               99.7337      99.5748     100.4464      99.8400
               99.9609     100.5811      99.3403     100.2345           0.4775
 
  1976         99.8873      99.9901     100.2104      99.9456
               99.7085     100.2069     100.6665      99.5992
               99.0397     100.4807     100.0588     100.3562           0.4160
 
  1977        100.1026      99.9765      99.7863      99.4027
              100.8943      99.8219      99.1914      99.9574
              101.8451      99.5950      96.3877      97.8643           1.3868
 
  1978        100.2710     101.9448     100.3837      98.9880
              103.8210     101.2202      99.1601      95.9929
               99.8316      97.6799      99.4154     100.9826           1.9278
 
  1979        100.6867      99.1012      98.8654     101.5188
              100.8955      99.7984     100.1289      98.7730
               99.2876     100.1808     101.8386      99.6018           0.9711
 
  1980         98.6018     100.2477     102.0224     104.9233
               98.9148      95.6456      99.5278     101.3980
               99.5355      99.0503     100.4153     101.2341           2.1501
 
  1981         99.2562      99.6898      99.3220     100.1193
              100.9273      98.9587     100.9774      99.9681
               99.4994     102.3234      98.6911      98.0999           1.1179
 
  1982         99.5868     100.6703     100.7055     100.6524
               97.4215     100.6087     100.0395      99.4338
              100.5920     105.3979     103.5916      97.9037           2.1538
 
  1983         96.4210      98.3952     100.2547     100.4983
               99.7236     100.0062      99.5594     100.8881
              100.3601      98.6255     100.1553     100.3442           1.2556
 
  1984        100.4742     100.8006      98.7291      99.3252
              100.9565      99.1971     101.2119      99.4817
               99.4663     101.0071      99.3688      99.4246           0.8297
 
  1985        100.0972     100.8105     100.0808      99.2484
              100.9075     100.1469      98.6904     100.0719
              102.7497      98.5625      98.7081     101.9533           1.2555
 
  1986        103.8915      98.9710      99.4154     101.4544
               99.2269     101.7469      98.8375      98.4679
               98.9161     101.0989     105.6770     104.5401           2.6018
 
  1987         99.9736     100.0783     101.1275      98.8172
               97.5449      99.1487     101.8558     100.2634
               98.6703     102.7709     101.4790      98.3688           1.5066
 
  1988         99.1650     101.4494      99.8819     100.2385
               99.2004      99.1379     100.6918     100.1959
              101.1802     100.0714      98.6102      99.4819           0.8350
 
  1989        101.0690     100.2580      98.9524      99.8553
              101.3670     103.8284      99.5463      99.1579
              101.0774      99.3833     100.7088     100.2330           1.3499
 
  1990         99.2317      99.4556     100.8653     104.7801
              100.0922     100.7667      99.3809     101.0171
               98.7947      96.0150      97.5349     101.4115           2.0797
 
  1991         99.9349      98.6752     100.4127     100.7161
               99.2845     100.6045     100.0236      99.5891
              100.3080     100.0530     100.4196      99.1263           0.6141
 
  1992         95.9575      99.4712     100.9745     103.1656
              100.7827      99.0489     100.1991     100.5300
               99.6647      99.0820     100.8025      99.9693           1.6080
 
  1993         99.9125     100.9848      99.4283      99.7918
              100.0437      99.0443     101.1853      96.6968
               99.4629     100.1269      99.8536     100.4832           1.1232
 
  1994        100.6490      99.5123      99.2892      99.6935
              100.9981     100.5888      98.8552     100.1512
              100.3257      99.7071      99.2562     101.4072           0.7450
 
  1995        100.9075     104.2487      99.7238      95.4577
               98.6044      96.4828      97.9915     100.9760
              103.4176     100.8378     100.4893      98.7716           2.4668
 
  1996         99.9689     100.3188      99.8687     100.3865
               99.3800     100.3119     101.0967      98.6576
               99.7116     101.0520     100.0320      99.1586           0.6864
 
  1997         98.7089     101.5436     100.5205     103.7424
              100.5150      97.2081      99.0430     100.4542
              100.8275      98.4433     100.2200     101.9935           1.6990
 
  1998         99.7639      97.4936      99.4380      99.7702
               99.4585     101.0410     100.4632     105.2726
              101.2664      95.0595      99.0270      99.2385           2.3028
 
  1999         96.0692      99.2521     100.3827      99.6016
              100.5227     100.2397     100.6501     100.1752
               98.4387     100.1655     101.0780      98.8327           1.3568
 
  2000         99.8369     103.7321      99.8385      98.8982
              101.3496      99.2488      99.5809     100.7668
               99.7939      99.9654      99.6751     100.1713           1.2424
 
  2001        100.8154      98.4588     100.6231     101.0577
               99.0875      99.7870     100.6329     100.3210
               98.6426      99.9441      99.4218     100.4106           0.8305
 
  2002        101.6434     101.3130      99.3836     100.3771
               99.8899      99.7180      95.5531      98.5533
              100.0913     101.5846     100.2450     100.4331           1.5725
 
  2003         99.1893     100.0051      99.6964     100.4825
               99.4537     100.2738      99.9482     102.6679
              101.0364      98.2719     100.7819      99.9728           1.0468
 
  2004         99.8056      99.4933     100.8784      99.0238
              103.7450     100.2571      98.7860     100.5650
              100.6634     100.4650      99.4721      99.2803           1.2701
 
  2005        100.1152     100.1182     100.0132     100.4937
               99.4479      99.7384     100.9309      99.9355
               98.9637     100.1489     103.1391     101.1770           1.0743
 
  2006         98.9498     100.0397     100.4580     100.2277
               96.9241      99.2269      99.6786     100.0889
              100.3905     100.2211     100.1257      98.5725           1.0720
 
  2007        101.6331     101.0417      99.0039      98.9542
              100.4072     100.8806     100.4701      99.0402
               99.4593     100.8794      99.3258     101.0649           0.9388
 
  2008         99.3230     100.4805      96.8085      97.6396
               99.5990     100.4591     100.4745     104.5927
              104.2601      99.8336     100.1610      95.2696           2.5612
 
  2009         95.5117      98.5353     103.3195     101.4109
               99.8183      99.6915      99.1966     101.8033
               99.6383      99.9522      99.7684      99.7724           1.8158
 
  2010        100.7210      99.5455      99.7823     100.2260
              100.4574     100.1673      99.3562      99.8407
              100.7298      99.0358     100.2262     100.5813           0.5286
 
  2011         99.5890     100.3810      99.7885     100.0890
               99.7737      99.9669     100.5176      99.3393
               99.7414     100.3354     100.5767      99.9939           0.3692
 
  2012         98.0434     100.1338     104.3877     100.5172
               99.7031      99.6137     100.0543     100.6322
               99.4560     100.4106      99.7756      99.1518           1.4503
 
  2013        100.6210     101.9066     100.3349      99.4100
              102.0155      97.5806     100.3433      99.4495
              100.5655      99.4956      99.8240     101.5714           1.2211
 
  2014        100.5125      99.7372     100.2375      99.4566
               99.9441      99.9688      99.3067     100.3089
              100.6412                                                  0.4314
 
  S.D.          1.7956       1.3382       1.2609       1.6609
                1.3462       1.3471       1.0401       1.5838
                1.2000       1.6010       1.4812       1.4361

  Table Total-         52517.35   Mean-         100.03   Std. Dev.-           1.44
                                  Min -          95.06        Max -         105.68
        X-12-ARIMA run of EXJPUS            PAGE  12, SERIES EXJPUS

 D 16  Combined adjustment factors
  From  1971.Jan to 2014.Sep
  Observations        525
 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  Jan          Feb          Mar          Apr 
                  May          Jun          Jul          Aug 
                  Sep          Oct          Nov          Dec            AVGE  
 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  1971        100.6955      99.0185      98.3018      98.1845
               98.7041      99.2878     100.0154     100.8174
              100.3544     100.4249     102.0242     102.0213          99.9875
 
  1972        100.8209      99.0779      98.3006      98.2829
               98.7155      99.2721      99.9378     100.6983
              100.3338     100.4379     101.8700     101.9541          99.9752
 
  1973        101.0150      99.1878      98.3690      98.4546
               98.8070      99.3208      99.7915     100.4090
              100.2358     100.4209     101.6486     101.8682          99.9607
 
  1974        101.1795      99.3513      98.5492      98.6730
               99.0437      99.4589      99.6016     100.1027
              100.0987     100.2091     101.4236     101.5316          99.9352
 
  1975        101.2274      99.6690      98.9606      98.9603
               99.4366      99.7845      99.2744      99.7945
               99.8405      99.8409     101.1182     101.2026          99.9258
 
  1976        101.1305      99.9455      99.4365      99.4413
               99.9442     100.1403      99.0223      99.5529
               99.4686      99.3555     100.9768     100.7426          99.9298
 
  1977        100.7434     100.2137     100.1107      99.9330
              100.3209     100.5326      98.8473      99.5233
               99.0720      98.8991     100.9227     100.4645          99.9652
 
  1978        100.1615     100.2537     100.5602     100.3312
              100.5756     100.7267      99.0020      99.7613
               98.9661      98.7145     100.9140      99.9952          99.9968
 
  1979         99.4194     100.2288     100.8709     100.4981
              100.3600     100.8795      99.3986     100.2953
               99.2432      98.8526     100.8461      99.5879         100.0400
 
  1980         98.8145      99.8576     100.6754     100.5323
               99.9591     100.8546     100.0782     100.9482
               99.8835      99.2392     100.7146      99.1350         100.0577
 
  1981         98.3642      99.5631     100.3089     100.2198
               99.3836     100.8026     100.8190     101.5833
              100.6273      99.6667     100.4400      98.8586         100.0531
 
  1982         98.2742      99.3570      99.7258      99.6997
               99.1275     100.6791     101.3431     101.9750
              101.4806      99.9333      99.9036      98.7506         100.0208
 
  1983         98.4795      99.4448      99.3223      99.2263
               98.8905     100.7430     101.4583     101.9876
              102.0221     100.0787      99.4105      98.9018          99.9971
 
  1984         98.9334      99.5488      99.1370      98.8213
               98.8206     100.7193     101.4777     101.8596
              102.2224     100.1200      99.1223      99.0464          99.9857
 
  1985         99.2104      99.7839      99.1927      98.5119
               98.7093     100.6685     101.6106     101.7938
              102.2197     100.2581      98.8623      98.9386          99.9800
 
  1986         99.2792      99.8301      99.3292      98.2781
               98.9359     100.6347     101.9031     101.9211
              102.3101     100.2587      98.5341      98.5623          99.9814
 
  1987         98.9865      99.5573      99.5718      98.4135
               99.3372     100.9372     102.2014     102.1212
              102.1573     100.1585      98.1581      98.0622          99.9719
 
  1988         98.6925      98.9687      99.9950      98.7439
              100.0013     101.3335     102.4223     102.2977
              101.7913      99.6931      97.9017      97.6449          99.9572
 
  1989         98.5391      98.4723     100.5217      99.2677
              100.7890     101.6120     102.3266     102.2009
              101.0591      99.0924      97.6954      97.6676          99.9370
 
  1990         98.9561      98.3840     101.0370      99.7302
              101.4091     101.5074     101.7492     101.6761
              100.2589      98.4870      97.8919      98.3068          99.9495
 
  1991         99.8616      98.6472     101.4100     100.0196
              101.5158     101.1162     100.6542     100.9538
               99.3566      98.2489      98.3786      99.5205          99.9736
 
  1992        101.2527      99.2752     101.4881      99.9639
              100.8291     100.3538      99.4393     100.2389
               98.8087      98.5692      99.2549     100.5709         100.0037
 
  1993        102.5433     100.0678     101.2738      99.6727
               99.8015      99.5435      98.4440      99.6984
               98.7217      99.1961      99.9707     101.2676         100.0168
 
  1994        103.3462     100.8772     100.8415      99.4208
               98.8766      98.9355      97.8706      99.4028
               99.0865      99.8036     100.4274     101.4585         100.0289
 
  1995        103.3158     101.1650     100.3976      99.3036
               98.5297      99.0491      98.0197      99.4006
               99.5715     100.0853     100.1893     101.0597         100.0072
 
  1996        102.6229     100.9791     100.1681      99.5302
               98.7808      99.7019      98.8144      99.6480
               99.8394      99.9507      99.6024     100.0627          99.9750
 
  1997        101.5628     100.5621     100.1739      99.9174
               99.7261     100.5769     100.0690      99.8786
               99.7210      99.4221      98.7180      98.9345          99.9385
 
  1998        100.6112     100.2323     100.5062     100.5401
              100.8098     101.1678     101.1864     100.0300
               99.1802      98.7122      97.9624      98.2838          99.9352
 
  1999        100.0907     100.1023     100.8350     101.1161
              101.6006     101.4524     101.9091      99.8737
               98.6633      98.2780      97.4217      98.1195          99.9552
 
  2000         99.9543     100.1117     101.1598     101.6423
              101.7591     101.3489     102.0856      99.6911
               98.3039      98.1181      97.4692      98.3339          99.9981
 
  2001         99.9236     100.3344     101.2953     101.7821
              101.4784     100.9817     101.8662      99.4922
               98.4540      98.4360      97.7798      98.7086         100.0444
 
  2002         99.8027     100.4368     101.2617     101.7565
              100.8866     100.5419     101.5286      99.4746
               98.8605      98.8822      98.2924      99.3036         100.0857
 
  2003         99.5205     100.4399     100.9316     101.3908
              100.2880     100.2531     101.2575      99.5826
               99.5471      99.6045      98.7262      99.6058         100.0956
 
  2004         99.2006     100.2049     100.3258     100.8992
               99.9092     100.3446     101.3124      99.8398
              100.0004     100.1753      99.0064      99.7315         100.0792
 
  2005         98.8527      99.9849      99.7027     100.3012
               99.9003     100.6724     101.4510     100.1872
              100.2893     100.5712      98.9728      99.5859         100.0393
 
  2006         98.6700      99.6018      99.1776     100.2062
              100.0854     101.1929     101.6975     100.4687
              100.1253     100.5254      98.6903      99.4664          99.9923
 
  2007         98.6228      99.3172      98.9448     100.5284
              100.4994     101.6781     101.7365     100.5279
               99.8660     100.0818      98.3628      99.2104          99.9480
 
  2008         98.7361      99.1609      98.9372     101.2472
              101.0301     102.1362     101.6539     100.3412
               99.4290      99.2729      98.0677      99.0649          99.9231
 
  2009         98.8819      99.1837      99.3190     102.0697
              101.5678     102.3823     101.3705     100.0298
               98.9767      98.3594      97.8321      98.8272          99.9000
 
  2010         99.1991      99.3979      99.9339     102.9390
              102.0239     102.3644     101.0323      99.5150
               98.4043      97.5237      97.6892      98.8014          99.9020
 
  2011         99.6478      99.8086     100.6684     103.5056
              102.3354     102.1215     100.5841      98.9506
               98.0154      96.8728      97.6726      98.8157          99.9166
 
  2012        100.1723     100.3105     101.2583     103.7128
              102.4960     101.8616     100.2588      98.3912
               97.7376      96.5486      97.7041      98.9638          99.9513
 
  2013        100.5503     100.7038     101.6404     103.6545
              102.4969     101.6629     100.0623      98.1103
               97.6326      96.4658      97.7604      99.0257          99.9805
 
  2014        100.7089     100.8611     101.8120     103.6274
              102.4606     101.5450      99.9925      98.0527
               97.5750                                                100.7372
 
  AVGE        100.0130      99.8064     100.1304     100.2943
              100.2490     100.7473     100.6040     100.2977
               99.7684      99.2522      99.2170      99.5341

  Table Total-         52498.21   Mean-         100.00   Std. Dev.-           1.26
                                  Min -          96.47        Max -         103.71

 D 16.A  Combined adjustment component forecasts
  From  2014.Oct to 2015.Sep
  Observations         12
 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  Jan          Feb          Mar          Apr 
                  May          Jun          Jul          Aug 
                  Sep          Oct          Nov          Dec            AVGE  
 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  2014                                                       
                                                             
                            96.4244      97.7886      99.0566          97.7565
 
  2015        100.7881     100.9398     101.8978     103.6138
              102.4425     101.4861      99.9575      98.0239
               97.5462                                                100.7440
 
        X-12-ARIMA run of EXJPUS            PAGE  13, SERIES EXJPUS

 E 4  Ratios of annual totals
  From          1971 to 2013
  Observations         43
 -----------------------------------
  Year      Unmodified     Modified
                 (D11)         (E3)
 -----------------------------------
  1971         99.9350      99.9350
 
  1972         99.9590      99.9590
 
  1973         99.9742      99.9661
 
  1974         99.9504      99.9427
 
  1975         99.9305      99.9305
 
  1976         99.9298      99.9298
 
  1977         99.9647      99.9674
 
  1978        100.0297     100.0271
 
  1979        100.0329     100.0329
 
  1980        100.0606     100.0615
 
  1981        100.0716     100.0716
 
  1982        100.0496     100.0501
 
  1983         99.9984      99.9938
 
  1984         99.9909      99.9909
 
  1985         99.9665      99.9665
 
  1986         99.9110      99.9243
 
  1987         99.9803      99.9803
 
  1988         99.9702      99.9702
 
  1989         99.9298      99.9245
 
  1990         99.9952      99.9915
 
  1991         99.9878      99.9878
 
  1992        100.0112     100.0156
 
  1993        100.0499     100.0499
 
  1994        100.0437     100.0437
 
  1995        100.0531     100.0437
 
  1996         99.9588      99.9588
 
  1997         99.9180      99.9180
 
  1998         99.9743      99.9690
 
  1999        100.0173     100.0175
 
  2000         99.9618      99.9618
 
  2001        100.0277     100.0277
 
  2002        100.0910     100.0962
 
  2003        100.1087     100.1087
 
  2004        100.0809     100.0815
 
  2005        100.0357     100.0387
 
  2006         99.9814      99.9817
 
  2007         99.9555      99.9555
 
  2008         99.9348      99.9291
 
  2009         99.9198      99.9176
 
  2010         99.9355      99.9355
 
  2011         99.9233      99.9233
 
  2012         99.9166      99.9118
 
  2013         99.9183      99.9218
 
        X-12-ARIMA run of EXJPUS            PAGE  14, SERIES EXJPUS

 E 5  Month-to-month percent change in the original series
  From  1971.Feb to 2014.Sep
  Observations        524
 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  Jan          Feb          Mar          Apr 
                  May          Jun          Jul          Aug 
                  Sep          Oct          Nov          Dec            AVGE  
 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  1971                      -0.1327      -0.0074      -0.0043
               -0.0252      -0.0003      -0.0021      -0.4545
               -4.9916      -2.0444      -0.7123      -2.6401          -1.0013
 
  1972         -2.2972      -2.4089      -0.8685       0.3385
                0.2698      -0.6456      -0.4577       0.0433
               -0.0139      -0.0359      -0.0075       0.0837          -0.5000
 
  1973          0.1818      -7.7430      -5.9332       1.3707
               -0.3167      -0.0576       0.0211       0.2518
                0.0960       0.3240       4.4785       0.6882          -0.5532
 
  1974          6.4088      -2.3635      -3.0652      -1.5561
                0.4292       1.4352       2.8307       3.8847
               -1.0585       0.0938       0.2373       0.1121           0.6157
 
  1975         -0.2420      -2.6782      -1.2719       1.4753
               -0.2623       0.6985       0.9909       0.5406
                0.6486       0.8094       0.0691       1.0328           0.1509
 
  1976         -0.3384      -0.9983      -0.3568      -0.4691
               -0.0350       0.0625      -1.5207      -1.3627
               -1.1234       1.3321       1.3655      -0.1571          -0.3001
 
  1977         -1.2383      -2.0719      -1.6825      -1.7912
                0.8063      -1.6456      -2.9311       0.6850
                0.0347      -4.5078      -3.9419      -1.5037          -1.6490
 
  1978          0.0241      -0.2940      -3.5423      -4.3132
                1.9479      -5.3375      -6.7307      -5.5013
                0.6411      -3.3111       4.6351       1.9842          -1.6498
 
  1979          0.9186       1.3917       2.9008       4.8281
                0.9843       0.0836      -0.9546       0.6539
                2.0594       3.6287       6.2910      -1.8816           1.7420
 
  1980         -1.0342       2.7161       1.6896       0.7230
               -8.6490      -4.6849       1.4771       1.2560
               -4.2414      -2.3757       1.8074      -1.6974          -1.0845
 
  1981         -3.3997       1.6554       1.4948       2.9619
                2.6294       1.6099       3.6335       0.4305
               -1.6480       0.8881      -3.6249      -1.8699           0.3968
 
  1982          2.6720       4.6710       2.5170       1.1933
               -2.9263       6.0069       1.5260       1.5741
                1.6369       3.1636      -2.7712      -8.3861           0.9064
 
  1983         -3.8068       1.4567       0.9034      -0.2130
               -1.2581       2.2473       0.2019       1.6403
               -0.8652      -3.9038       0.9208      -0.2415          -0.2432
 
  1984         -0.2825      -0.0871      -3.5659      -0.0295
                2.3436       1.3398       4.0682      -0.3319
                1.3192       0.5287      -1.2660       1.7787           0.4846
 
  1985          2.5080       2.4765      -0.9818      -2.3554
               -0.0461      -1.1479      -3.0958      -1.5242
               -0.3931      -9.2366      -4.9407      -0.6300          -1.6139
 
  1986         -1.4289      -7.5236      -3.3312      -2.0157
               -4.6035       0.3056      -5.3336      -2.7923
                0.3595       1.1251       4.0755      -0.4895          -1.8044
 
  1987         -4.4571      -0.9189      -1.2865      -5.6359
               -1.6932       2.8976       3.9740      -1.9692
               -2.7443       0.0202      -5.5279      -5.2849          -1.8855
 
  1988         -0.4339       1.1600      -1.5891      -1.7436
               -0.0885       2.1464       4.3588       0.5598
                0.4123      -4.1968      -4.2574       0.3292          -0.2786
 
  1989          3.0378       0.2944       2.2022       1.1383
                4.4132       4.4372      -2.4704       0.7557
                2.5337      -1.9737       0.9336       0.1050           1.2839
 
  1990          0.9026       0.4906       5.2267       3.3595
               -2.7859      -0.2262      -3.0295      -1.0592
               -6.1171      -6.3923      -0.2897       3.6168          -0.5253
 
  1991         -0.1422      -2.3656       5.2483      -0.1994
                0.8089       1.1038      -1.3721      -0.7354
               -1.8396      -2.6264      -0.8719      -1.2286          -0.3517
 
  1992         -2.0135       1.7834       4.0437       0.5094
               -2.0732      -3.0095      -0.7520       0.2775
               -2.8791      -1.1676       2.2406       0.1299          -0.2425
 
  1993          0.7677      -3.3871      -3.0988      -3.9362
               -1.8400      -2.6564       0.2603      -3.6460
                1.7441       1.3689       0.8003       1.8878          -0.9779
 
  1994          1.3906      -4.6126      -1.1323      -1.5349
                0.2599      -1.1825      -3.9808       1.5190
               -1.1668      -0.4265      -0.3142       2.1811          -0.7500
 
  1995         -0.4156      -1.5328      -7.8557      -7.5454
                1.7006      -0.5607       3.2628       8.3999
                6.1297       0.2919       1.0918      -0.0888           0.2398
 
  1996          3.8310       0.0346       0.1437       1.1889
               -0.7996       2.4616       0.2119      -1.2135
                1.9145       2.2571      -0.1036       1.5007           0.9523
 
  1997          3.4492       4.2826      -0.1531       2.3327
               -5.1301      -4.1166       0.9539       2.2133
                2.5104       0.1410       3.5695       3.4713           1.1270
 
  1998         -0.1438      -2.8529       2.5671       2.0695
                2.3851       4.0287       0.3256       2.7649
               -7.0497      -9.9880      -0.6271      -2.6757          -0.7664
 
  1999         -3.2296       2.9821       2.4039       0.2505
                1.8595      -1.0451      -1.1547      -5.1150
               -5.6096      -0.8516      -1.2424      -1.9725          -1.0604
 
  2000          2.6434       3.8867      -2.8167      -0.6400
                2.5500      -2.0264       1.9656      -0.1212
               -1.1500       1.5027       0.5225       2.9351           0.7710
 
  2001          3.9773      -0.3756       4.5351       1.8649
               -1.6181       0.4786       1.7549      -2.5150
               -2.2702       2.3960       0.7838       4.2392           1.1042
 
  2002          3.9883       0.7230      -1.9317      -0.2207
               -3.3622      -2.4408      -4.3729       0.9276
                1.7525       2.3371      -1.8561       0.2344          -0.3518
 
  2003         -2.5265       0.4415      -0.5453       1.0177
               -2.1076       0.8187       0.3101      -0.0282
               -3.2549      -4.6206      -0.2901      -1.3190          -1.0087
 
  2004         -1.3637       0.4135       1.6942      -0.7919
                4.2167      -2.4621       0.0489       0.6818
               -0.1290      -1.1880      -3.7547      -0.8487          -0.2903
 
  2005         -0.4522       1.5514       0.2955       1.8427
               -0.5584       2.0189       2.9483      -1.2032
                0.5718       3.2637       3.1205       0.0071           1.1172
 
  2006         -2.5205       2.0645      -0.4944      -0.1776
               -4.5605       2.5906       0.9963       0.1359
                1.1130       1.1897      -1.0863       0.0013          -0.0624
 
  2007          2.6637       0.0478      -2.6926       1.4262
                1.5478       1.5859      -1.0382      -3.8556
               -1.4477       0.7150      -4.1368       1.2389          -0.3288
 
  2008         -4.1182      -0.7310      -5.8617       1.9071
                1.6379       2.4489      -0.0593       2.3496
               -2.5490      -6.2012      -3.0013      -5.8687          -1.6706
 
  2009         -1.2649       3.1017       5.3158       1.0883
               -2.3003      -0.0310      -2.3263       0.5617
               -3.8171      -0.9945      -1.2169       0.7657          -0.0931
 
  2010          1.2787      -1.0555       0.6397       3.0167
               -1.5834      -1.2690      -3.6401      -2.4318
               -1.1896      -3.1160       0.9660       0.9932          -0.6159
 
  2011         -0.8551      -0.1067      -1.0781       1.8740
               -2.4663      -0.8626      -1.4714      -2.8732
               -0.2209      -0.1988       1.1958       0.3058          -0.5631
 
  2012         -1.0704       1.9568       5.0923      -1.4715
               -1.9515      -0.4413      -0.4796      -0.3090
               -0.7061       1.1236       2.5531       3.4061           0.6419
 
  2013          6.2866       4.4280       1.9015       3.1531
                3.2329      -3.6501       2.5070      -1.8665
                1.4290      -1.4515       2.3562       3.3838           1.8092
 
  2014          0.2913      -1.5768       0.2097       0.1160
               -0.6680       0.2841      -0.3164       1.1832
                2.0314                                                  0.1727
 
  AVGE          0.1895      -0.0411      -0.0936       0.1000
               -0.4474       0.0362      -0.2014      -0.1732
               -0.6713      -0.9839      -0.0425      -0.0552

  Table Total-          -104.00   Mean-          -0.20   Std. Dev.-           2.65
                                  Min -          -9.99        Max -           8.40
        X-12-ARIMA run of EXJPUS            PAGE  15, SERIES EXJPUS

 E 6  Month-to-month percent change in seasonally adjusted series (D11)
  From  1971.Feb to 2014.Sep
  Observations        524
 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  Jan          Feb          Mar          Apr 
                  May          Jun          Jul          Aug 
                  Sep          Oct          Nov          Dec            AVGE  
 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  1971                       1.5587       0.7216       0.1152
               -0.5516      -0.5882      -0.7295      -1.2464
               -4.5532      -2.1131      -2.2687      -2.6373          -1.1175
 
  1972         -1.1340      -0.6920      -0.0846       0.3566
               -0.1697      -1.2026      -1.1206      -0.7123
                0.3494      -0.1395      -1.4132       0.0012          -0.4968
 
  1973          1.1132      -6.0436      -5.1502       1.2826
               -0.6723      -0.5746      -0.4506      -0.3647
                0.2690       0.1390       3.2166       0.4711          -0.5637
 
  1974          7.1332      -0.5669      -2.2762      -1.6797
                0.0534       1.0116       2.6834       3.3646
               -1.0545      -0.0164      -0.9630       0.0056           0.6413
 
  1975          0.0578      -1.1565      -0.5652       1.4756
               -0.7400       0.3475       1.5098       0.0165
                0.6023       0.8089      -1.1950       0.9486           0.1759
 
  1976         -0.2673       0.1755       0.1532      -0.4739
               -0.5380      -0.1335      -0.4088      -1.8885
               -1.0396       1.4474      -0.2620       0.0750          -0.2634
 
  1977         -1.2391      -1.5542      -1.5814      -1.6166
                0.4166      -1.8527      -1.2761       0.0011
                0.4904      -4.3409      -5.8680      -1.0546          -1.6230
 
  1978          0.3267      -0.3858      -3.8363      -4.0948
                1.7002      -5.4795      -5.1059      -6.2205
                1.4498      -3.0647       2.3546       2.9212          -1.6196
 
  1979          1.5031       0.5729       2.2459       5.2169
                1.1233      -0.4318       0.5210      -0.2461
                3.1414       4.0382       4.1899      -0.6420           1.7694
 
  1980         -0.2596       1.6431       0.8637       0.8663
               -8.1253      -5.5312       2.2643       0.3833
               -3.2207      -1.7420       0.3160      -0.1311          -1.0561
 
  1981         -2.6426       0.4313       0.7402       3.0534
                3.4929       0.1795       3.6166      -0.3251
               -0.7136       1.8604      -4.3668      -0.3001           0.4188
 
  1982          3.2825       3.5303       2.1379       1.2198
               -2.3660       4.3732       0.8608       0.9447
                2.1320       4.7609      -2.7424      -7.3164           0.9015
 
  1983         -3.5420       0.4718       1.0279      -0.1165
               -0.9228       0.3671      -0.5046       1.1129
               -0.8988      -2.0377       1.5991       0.2716          -0.2643
 
  1984         -0.3144      -0.7048      -3.1654       0.2899
                2.3443      -0.5706       3.2905      -0.7055
                0.9595       2.6397      -0.2722       1.8567           0.4706
 
  1985          2.3385       1.8875      -0.3916      -1.6806
               -0.2459      -3.0717      -3.9943      -1.7015
               -0.8082      -7.4607      -3.5986      -0.7067          -1.6195
 
  1986         -1.7670      -8.0340      -2.8437      -0.9677
               -5.2379      -1.3876      -6.5119      -2.8094
               -0.0221       3.1942       5.8971      -0.5179          -1.7507
 
  1987         -4.8666      -1.4869      -1.3009      -4.5252
               -2.6074       1.2665       2.6879      -1.8922
               -2.7787       2.0164      -3.6027      -5.1923          -1.8568
 
  1988         -1.0698       0.8777      -2.5991      -0.4987
               -1.3447       0.8035       3.2494       0.6823
                0.9118      -2.1804      -2.5056       0.5931          -0.2567
 
  1989          2.1027       0.3624       0.1185       2.4160
                2.8373       3.5913      -3.1514       0.8796
                3.6921      -0.0282       2.3769       0.1334           1.2775
 
  1990         -0.4112       1.0750       2.4637       4.7138
               -4.3954      -0.3228      -3.2599      -0.9881
               -4.7901      -4.7082       0.3165       3.1795          -0.5939
 
  1991         -1.6970      -1.1637       2.3810       1.1879
               -0.6769       1.5034      -0.9194      -1.0300
               -0.2616      -1.5285      -1.0026      -2.3618          -0.4641
 
  1992         -3.6899       3.8109       1.7751       2.0419
               -2.9135      -2.5500       0.1607      -0.5225
               -1.4732      -0.9276       1.5343      -1.1803          -0.3278
 
  1993         -1.1705      -0.9971      -4.2528      -2.3930
               -1.9666      -2.4041       1.3800      -4.8582
                2.7507       0.8841       0.0193       0.5829          -1.0354
 
  1994         -0.6487      -2.2780      -1.0974      -0.1277
                0.8117      -1.2413      -2.9361      -0.0458
               -0.8513      -1.1420      -0.9333       1.1426          -0.7789
 
  1995         -2.2059       0.5607      -7.1514      -6.5269
                2.4993      -1.0820       4.3473       6.8940
                5.9476      -0.2229       0.9869      -0.9493           0.2581
 
  1996          2.2494       1.6631       0.9545       1.8374
               -0.0470       1.5149       1.1120      -2.0398
                1.7192       2.1432       0.2457       1.0337           1.0322
 
  1997          1.9213       5.3203       0.2337       2.5954
               -4.9481      -4.9278       1.4664       2.4081
                2.6724       0.4421       4.3081       3.2449           1.2281
 
  1998         -1.8080      -2.4856       2.2876       2.0350
                2.1112       3.6605       0.3071       3.9530
               -6.2533      -9.5612       0.1334      -2.9939          -0.7179
 
  1999         -4.9766       2.9701       1.6598      -0.0281
                1.3738      -0.9005      -1.5977      -3.1812
               -4.4516      -0.4630      -0.3743      -2.6696          -1.0532
 
  2000          0.7593       3.7233      -3.8236      -1.1117
                2.4323      -1.6299       1.2298       2.2778
                0.2449       1.6949       1.1918       2.0299           0.7516
 
  2001          2.3231      -0.7835       3.5434       1.3778
               -1.3238       0.9728       0.8714      -0.1889
               -1.2396       2.4147       1.4601       3.2584           1.0572
 
  2002          2.8483       0.0870      -2.7306      -0.7058
               -2.5289      -2.1063      -5.3023       3.0116
                2.3845       2.3147      -1.2671      -0.7864          -0.3984
 
  2003         -2.7389      -0.4779      -1.0298       0.5602
               -1.0311       0.8539      -0.6850       1.6533
               -3.2205      -4.6756       0.5968      -2.1904          -1.0321
 
  2004         -0.9608      -0.5928       1.5716      -1.3557
                5.2495      -2.8854      -0.9068       2.1668
               -0.2893      -1.3606      -2.6184      -1.5696          -0.2960
 
  2005          0.4328       0.4014       0.5794       1.2350
               -0.1594       1.2366       2.1582       0.0431
                0.4695       2.9742       4.7859      -0.6085           1.1290
 
  2006         -1.6157       1.1097      -0.0688      -1.2023
               -4.4453       1.4678       0.4952       1.3606
                1.4598       0.7869       0.7529      -0.7789          -0.0565
 
  2007          3.5418      -0.6517      -2.3264      -0.1716
                1.5771       0.4083      -1.0951      -2.6997
               -0.7946       0.4979      -2.4616       0.3740          -0.3168
 
  2008         -3.6576      -1.1562      -5.6489      -0.4179
                1.8563       1.3395       0.4148       3.6886
               -1.6549      -6.0538      -1.8092      -6.8162          -1.6596
 
  2009         -1.0822       2.7880       5.1723      -1.6358
               -1.8176      -0.8264      -1.3514       1.9096
               -2.7937      -0.3731      -0.6845      -0.2490          -0.0786
 
  2010          0.8991      -1.2535       0.1000       0.0093
               -0.7006      -1.5974      -2.3696      -0.9441
               -0.0743      -2.2412       0.7949      -0.1436          -0.6268
 
  2011         -1.6972      -0.2677      -1.9229      -0.9184
               -1.3511      -0.6550       0.0346      -1.2697
                0.7311       0.9783       0.3672      -0.8545          -0.5688
 
  2012         -2.4102       1.8163       4.1086      -3.8033
               -0.7874       0.1788       1.1114       1.5832
               -0.0420       2.3689       1.3402       2.0899           0.6295
 
  2013          4.6096       4.2689       0.9624       1.1488
                4.3988      -2.8596       4.1467       0.0860
                1.9252      -0.2594       1.0007       2.0629           1.7909
 
  2014         -1.3849      -1.7254      -0.7262      -1.6379
                0.4631       1.1883       1.2314       3.1849
                2.5310                                                  0.3472
 
  AVGE         -0.2748       0.1511      -0.4266      -0.0603
               -0.4062      -0.4670      -0.0574       0.1301
               -0.1465      -0.4241      -0.0099      -0.3808

  Table Total-          -103.30   Mean-          -0.20   Std. Dev.-           2.47
                                  Min -          -9.56        Max -           7.13
        X-12-ARIMA run of EXJPUS            PAGE  16, SERIES EXJPUS

 E 7  Month-to-month percent change in final trend cycle (D12)
  From  1971.Feb to 2014.Sep
  Observations        524
 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  Jan          Feb          Mar          Apr 
                  May          Jun          Jul          Aug 
                  Sep          Oct          Nov          Dec            AVGE  
 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  1971                       0.6978       0.5070       0.2586
               -0.0684      -0.6815      -1.3292      -2.0397
               -2.6230      -2.8402      -2.5860      -2.0216          -1.1569
 
  1972         -1.3589      -0.6716      -0.0925      -0.0120
               -0.3765      -0.7510      -0.8052      -0.6052
               -0.2912      -0.2312      -0.6253      -1.2392          -0.5883
 
  1973         -1.8423      -2.1804      -2.1440      -1.7166
               -1.1162      -0.6912      -0.4851      -0.1717
                0.2870       0.9420       1.5261       1.7727          -0.4850
 
  1974          1.6201       1.2174       0.8045       0.5292
                0.3792       0.5700       0.8339       0.8728
                0.5876       0.1689      -0.1995      -0.4929           0.5743
 
  1975         -0.4937      -0.3423      -0.2141       0.0223
                0.3331       0.5077       0.6289       0.6240
                0.4807       0.1872       0.0392       0.0480           0.1518
 
  1976          0.0793       0.0725      -0.0670      -0.2101
               -0.3014      -0.6302      -0.8635      -0.8371
               -0.4806      -0.0074       0.1586      -0.2216          -0.2757
 
  1977         -0.9888      -1.4301      -1.3939      -1.2368
               -1.0680      -0.7984      -0.6485      -0.7652
               -1.3722      -2.1797      -2.7357      -2.5475          -1.4304
 
  1978         -2.0813      -2.0213      -2.3408      -2.7425
               -3.0340      -3.0508      -3.1345      -3.1264
               -2.4512      -0.9294       0.5677       1.3240          -1.9184
 
  1979          1.8014       2.1819       2.4897       2.4669
                1.7480       0.6627       0.1893       1.1233
                2.6069       3.1106       2.4937       1.5894           1.8720
 
  1980          0.7520      -0.0258      -0.8909      -1.9224
               -2.5444      -2.3021      -1.7247      -1.4681
               -1.4098      -1.2606      -1.0476      -0.9389          -1.2320
 
  1981         -0.7025      -0.0055       1.1132       2.2328
                2.6643       2.1724       1.5452       0.6812
               -0.2459      -0.9508      -0.8471       0.3008           0.6632
 
  1982          1.7405       2.4160       2.1022       1.2732
                0.8720       1.0666       1.4348       1.5596
                0.9561      -0.0159      -1.0466      -1.9318           0.8689
 
  1983         -2.0587      -1.5440      -0.8459      -0.3586
               -0.1531       0.0835      -0.0581      -0.2188
               -0.3773      -0.3148       0.0473       0.0828          -0.4763
 
  1984         -0.4433      -1.0264      -1.1336      -0.3120
                0.6906       1.1928       1.2343       1.0214
                0.9752       1.0741       1.3720       1.7995           0.5371
 
  1985          1.6508       1.1666       0.3346      -0.8560
               -1.8861      -2.3355      -2.5774      -3.0585
               -3.3932      -3.5294      -3.7408      -3.8673          -1.8410
 
  1986         -3.5995      -3.4617      -3.2780      -2.9581
               -3.1106      -3.8300      -3.7600      -2.4446
               -0.4751       0.9662       1.3095       0.5640          -2.0065
 
  1987         -0.5211      -1.5900      -2.3250      -2.2930
               -1.3371      -0.3715      -0.0413      -0.3341
               -1.2089      -2.0542      -2.3754      -2.1947          -1.3872
 
  1988         -1.8641      -1.3938      -1.0706      -0.8526
               -0.3123       0.8670       1.6560       1.1806
               -0.0699      -1.0966      -1.0609      -0.2883          -0.3588
 
  1989          0.4994       1.1742       1.4395       1.4898
                1.3037       1.1355       1.0147       1.2747
                1.7229       1.6760       1.0295       0.6087           1.1974
 
  1990          0.5938       0.8474       1.0316       0.8016
                0.0823      -0.9899      -1.9110      -2.5918
               -2.6483      -1.9495      -1.2468      -0.7647          -0.7288
 
  1991         -0.2445       0.0981       0.6094       0.8831
                0.7552       0.1716      -0.3439      -0.5982
               -0.9764      -1.2776      -1.3641      -1.0879          -0.2813
 
  1992         -0.5095       0.1439       0.2599      -0.1253
               -0.6180      -0.8442      -0.9890      -0.8499
               -0.6179      -0.3449      -0.1987      -0.3568          -0.4209
 
  1993         -1.1143      -2.0484      -2.7539      -2.7486
               -2.2135      -1.4193      -0.7652      -0.4419
               -0.1068       0.2151       0.2930      -0.0473          -1.0959
 
  1994         -0.8123      -1.1617      -0.8752      -0.5327
               -0.4905      -0.8394      -1.2339      -1.3392
               -1.0238      -0.5287      -0.4832      -1.0028          -0.8603
 
  1995         -1.7216      -2.6623      -2.9385      -2.3495
               -0.7716       1.0931       2.7407       3.7346
                3.4463       2.3298       1.3370       0.7733           0.4176
 
  1996          1.0248       1.3085       1.4095       1.3121
                0.9652       0.5719       0.3271       0.3820
                0.6439       0.7884       1.2679       1.9236           0.9937
 
  1997          2.3856       2.3802       1.2539      -0.5909
               -1.8961      -1.6935      -0.4134       0.9694
                2.2923       2.8747       2.4590       1.4496           0.9559
 
  1998          0.3865      -0.2149       0.2874       1.6952
                2.4313       2.0370       0.8840      -0.7962
               -2.5446      -3.6561      -3.8783      -3.2008          -0.5475
 
  1999         -1.8417      -0.3321       0.5149       0.7558
                0.4449      -0.6208      -1.9989      -2.7222
               -2.7661      -2.1789      -1.2737      -0.4585          -1.0398
 
  2000         -0.2542      -0.1715      -0.0728      -0.1715
               -0.0453       0.4524       0.8922       1.0742
                1.2222       1.5205       1.4864       1.5245           0.6214
 
  2001          1.6694       1.5913       1.3163       0.9418
                0.6383       0.2650       0.0235       0.1213
                0.4408       1.0811       1.9931       2.2415           1.0269
 
  2002          1.6009       0.4135      -0.8423      -1.6886
               -2.0534      -1.9376      -1.1747      -0.1244
                0.8113       0.8107       0.0523      -0.9722          -0.4254
 
  2003         -1.5192      -1.2898      -0.7234      -0.2266
               -0.0073       0.0290      -0.3615      -1.0395
               -1.6577      -1.9940      -1.9085      -1.3989          -1.0081
 
  2004         -0.7949      -0.2807       0.1769       0.4918
                0.4598       0.4932       0.5689       0.3595
               -0.3868      -1.1658      -1.6463      -1.3795          -0.2587
 
  2005         -0.4047       0.3984       0.6850       0.7509
                0.8905       0.9418       0.9512       1.0396
                1.4561       1.7555       1.7480       1.3189           0.9609
 
  2006          0.5987       0.0081      -0.4849      -0.9752
               -1.1885      -0.8870       0.0398       0.9451
                1.1549       0.9573       0.8490       0.7844           0.1501
 
  2007          0.4238      -0.0702      -0.3160      -0.1214
                0.1071      -0.0628      -0.6910      -1.2949
               -1.2126      -0.9168      -0.9359      -1.3532          -0.5370
 
  2008         -1.9680      -2.2949      -2.0701      -1.2657
               -0.1475       0.4719       0.3994      -0.3939
               -1.3412      -1.8883      -2.1302      -2.0319          -1.2217
 
  2009         -1.3329      -0.3660       0.3023       0.2154
               -0.2511      -0.7002      -0.8592      -0.6998
               -0.6816      -0.6860      -0.5015      -0.2530          -0.4845
 
  2010         -0.0512      -0.0874      -0.1376      -0.4335
               -0.9294      -1.3124      -1.5726      -1.4248
               -0.9563      -0.5691      -0.4023      -0.4962          -0.6977
 
  2011         -0.7177      -1.0546      -1.3406      -1.2158
               -1.0393      -0.8469      -0.5135      -0.0986
                0.3249       0.3805       0.1264      -0.2767          -0.5227
 
  2012         -0.4687      -0.3092      -0.1340      -0.0993
                0.0227       0.2687       0.6662       0.9998
                1.1401       1.3957       1.9852       2.7322           0.6833
 
  2013          3.0822       2.9535       2.5439       2.0899
                1.7324       1.5552       1.2792       0.9855
                0.7942       0.8131       0.6685       0.3070           1.5670
 
  2014         -0.3459      -0.9615      -1.2217      -0.8655
               -0.0269       1.1632       1.9063       2.1540
                2.1924                                                  0.4438
 
  AVGE         -0.2360      -0.2257      -0.2392      -0.2425
               -0.2379      -0.2233      -0.2054      -0.1905
               -0.1769      -0.2214      -0.2192      -0.2251

  Table Total-          -115.39   Mean-          -0.22   Std. Dev.-           1.44
                                  Min -          -3.88        Max -           3.73
        X-12-ARIMA run of EXJPUS            PAGE  17, SERIES EXJPUS

 E 8  Month-to-month percent change in original series adjusted for calendar factors (A18)
  From  1971.Feb to 2014.Sep
  Observations        524
 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  Jan          Feb          Mar          Apr 
                  May          Jun          Jul          Aug 
                  Sep          Oct          Nov          Dec            AVGE  
 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  1971                      -0.1327      -0.0074      -0.0043
               -0.0252      -0.0003      -0.0021      -0.4545
               -4.9916      -2.0444      -0.7123      -2.6401          -1.0013
 
  1972         -2.2972      -2.4089      -0.8685       0.3385
                0.2698      -0.6456      -0.4577       0.0433
               -0.0139      -0.0359      -0.0075       0.0837          -0.5000
 
  1973          0.1818      -7.7430      -5.9332       1.3707
               -0.3167      -0.0576       0.0211       0.2518
                0.0960       0.3240       4.4785       0.6882          -0.5532
 
  1974          6.4088      -2.3635      -3.0652      -1.5561
                0.4292       1.4352       2.8307       3.8847
               -1.0585       0.0938       0.2373       0.1121           0.6157
 
  1975         -0.2420      -2.6782      -1.2719       1.4753
               -0.2623       0.6985       0.9909       0.5406
                0.6486       0.8094       0.0691       1.0328           0.1509
 
  1976         -0.3384      -0.9983      -0.3568      -0.4691
               -0.0350       0.0625      -1.5207      -1.3627
               -1.1234       1.3321       1.3655      -0.1571          -0.3001
 
  1977         -1.2383      -2.0719      -1.6825      -1.7912
                0.8063      -1.6456      -2.9311       0.6850
                0.0347      -4.5078      -3.9419      -1.5037          -1.6490
 
  1978          0.0241      -0.2940      -3.5423      -4.3132
                1.9479      -5.3375      -6.7307      -5.5013
                0.6411      -3.3111       4.6351       1.9842          -1.6498
 
  1979          0.9186       1.3917       2.9008       4.8281
                0.9843       0.0836      -0.9546       0.6539
                2.0594       3.6287       6.2910      -1.8816           1.7420
 
  1980         -1.0342       2.7161       1.6896       0.7230
               -8.6490      -4.6849       1.4771       1.2560
               -4.2414      -2.3757       1.8074      -1.6974          -1.0845
 
  1981         -3.3997       1.6554       1.4948       2.9619
                2.6294       1.6099       3.6335       0.4305
               -1.6480       0.8881      -3.6249      -1.8699           0.3968
 
  1982          2.6720       4.6710       2.5170       1.1933
               -2.9263       6.0069       1.5260       1.5741
                1.6369       3.1636      -2.7712      -8.3861           0.9064
 
  1983         -3.8068       1.4567       0.9034      -0.2130
               -1.2581       2.2473       0.2019       1.6403
               -0.8652      -3.9038       0.9208      -0.2415          -0.2432
 
  1984         -0.2825      -0.0871      -3.5659      -0.0295
                2.3436       1.3398       4.0682      -0.3319
                1.3192       0.5287      -1.2660       1.7787           0.4846
 
  1985          2.5080       2.4765      -0.9818      -2.3554
               -0.0461      -1.1479      -3.0958      -1.5242
               -0.3931      -9.2366      -4.9407      -0.6300          -1.6139
 
  1986         -1.4289      -7.5236      -3.3312      -2.0157
               -4.6035       0.3056      -5.3336      -2.7923
                0.3595       1.1251       4.0755      -0.4895          -1.8044
 
  1987         -4.4571      -0.9189      -1.2865      -5.6359
               -1.6932       2.8976       3.9740      -1.9692
               -2.7443       0.0202      -5.5279      -5.2849          -1.8855
 
  1988         -0.4339       1.1600      -1.5891      -1.7436
               -0.0885       2.1464       4.3588       0.5598
                0.4123      -4.1968      -4.2574       0.3292          -0.2786
 
  1989          3.0378       0.2944       2.2022       1.1383
                4.4132       4.4372      -2.4704       0.7557
                2.5337      -1.9737       0.9336       0.1050           1.2839
 
  1990          0.9026       0.4906       5.2267       3.3595
               -2.7859      -0.2262      -3.0295      -1.0592
               -6.1171      -6.3923      -0.2897       3.6168          -0.5253
 
  1991         -0.1422      -2.3656       5.2483      -0.1994
                0.8089       1.1038      -1.3721      -0.7354
               -1.8396      -2.6264      -0.8719      -1.2286          -0.3517
 
  1992         -2.0135       1.7834       4.0437       0.5094
               -2.0732      -3.0095      -0.7520       0.2775
               -2.8791      -1.1676       2.2406       0.1299          -0.2425
 
  1993          0.7677      -3.3871      -3.0988      -3.9362
               -1.8400      -2.6564       0.2603      -3.6460
                1.7441       1.3689       0.8003       1.8878          -0.9779
 
  1994          1.3906      -4.6126      -1.1323      -1.5349
                0.2599      -1.1825      -3.9808       1.5190
               -1.1668      -0.4265      -0.3142       2.1811          -0.7500
 
  1995         -0.4156      -1.5328      -7.8557      -7.5454
                1.7006      -0.5607       3.2628       8.3999
                6.1297       0.2919       1.0918      -0.0888           0.2398
 
  1996          3.8310       0.0346       0.1437       1.1889
               -0.7996       2.4616       0.2119      -1.2135
                1.9145       2.2571      -0.1036       1.5007           0.9523
 
  1997          3.4492       4.2826      -0.1531       2.3327
               -5.1301      -4.1166       0.9539       2.2133
                2.5104       0.1410       3.5695       3.4713           1.1270
 
  1998         -0.1438      -2.8529       2.5671       2.0695
                2.3851       4.0287       0.3256       2.7649
               -7.0497      -9.9880      -0.6271      -2.6757          -0.7664
 
  1999         -3.2296       2.9821       2.4039       0.2505
                1.8595      -1.0451      -1.1547      -5.1150
               -5.6096      -0.8516      -1.2424      -1.9725          -1.0604
 
  2000          2.6434       3.8867      -2.8167      -0.6400
                2.5500      -2.0264       1.9656      -0.1212
               -1.1500       1.5027       0.5225       2.9351           0.7710
 
  2001          3.9773      -0.3756       4.5351       1.8649
               -1.6181       0.4786       1.7549      -2.5150
               -2.2702       2.3960       0.7838       4.2392           1.1042
 
  2002          3.9883       0.7230      -1.9317      -0.2207
               -3.3622      -2.4408      -4.3729       0.9276
                1.7525       2.3371      -1.8561       0.2344          -0.3518
 
  2003         -2.5265       0.4415      -0.5453       1.0177
               -2.1076       0.8187       0.3101      -0.0282
               -3.2549      -4.6206      -0.2901      -1.3190          -1.0087
 
  2004         -1.3637       0.4135       1.6942      -0.7919
                4.2167      -2.4621       0.0489       0.6818
               -0.1290      -1.1880      -3.7547      -0.8487          -0.2903
 
  2005         -0.4522       1.5514       0.2955       1.8427
               -0.5584       2.0189       2.9483      -1.2032
                0.5718       3.2637       3.1205       0.0071           1.1172
 
  2006         -2.5205       2.0645      -0.4944      -0.1776
               -4.5605       2.5906       0.9963       0.1359
                1.1130       1.1897      -1.0863       0.0013          -0.0624
 
  2007          2.6637       0.0478      -2.6926       1.4262
                1.5478       1.5859      -1.0382      -3.8556
               -1.4477       0.7150      -4.1368       1.2389          -0.3288
 
  2008         -4.1182      -0.7310      -5.8617       1.9071
                1.6379       2.4489      -0.0593       2.3496
               -2.5490      -6.2012      -3.0013      -5.8687          -1.6706
 
  2009         -1.2649       3.1017       5.3158       1.0883
               -2.3003      -0.0310      -2.3263       0.5617
               -3.8171      -0.9945      -1.2169       0.7657          -0.0931
 
  2010          1.2787      -1.0555       0.6397       3.0167
               -1.5834      -1.2690      -3.6401      -2.4318
               -1.1896      -3.1160       0.9660       0.9932          -0.6159
 
  2011         -0.8551      -0.1067      -1.0781       1.8740
               -2.4663      -0.8626      -1.4714      -2.8732
               -0.2209      -0.1988       1.1958       0.3058          -0.5631
 
  2012         -1.0704       1.9568       5.0923      -1.4715
               -1.9515      -0.4413      -0.4796      -0.3090
               -0.7061       1.1236       2.5531       3.4061           0.6419
 
  2013          6.2866       4.4280       1.9015       3.1531
                3.2329      -3.6501       2.5070      -1.8665
                1.4290      -1.4515       2.3562       3.3838           1.8092
 
  2014          0.2913      -1.5768       0.2097       0.1160
               -0.6680       0.2841      -0.3164       1.1832
                2.0314                                                  0.1727
 
  AVGE          0.1895      -0.0411      -0.0936       0.1000
               -0.4474       0.0362      -0.2014      -0.1732
               -0.6713      -0.9839      -0.0425      -0.0552

  Table Total-          -104.00   Mean-          -0.20   Std. Dev.-         100.23
                                  Min -          -9.99        Max -           8.40
        X-12-ARIMA run of EXJPUS            PAGE  18, SERIES EXJPUS

 E 18  Final adjustment ratios
  From  1971.Jan to 2014.Sep
  Observations        525
 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  Jan          Feb          Mar          Apr 
                  May          Jun          Jul          Aug 
                  Sep          Oct          Nov          Dec            AVGE  
 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  1971        100.6955      99.0185      98.3018      98.1845
               98.7041      99.2878     100.0154     100.8174
              100.3544     100.4249     102.0242     102.0213          99.9875
 
  1972        100.8209      99.0779      98.3006      98.2829
               98.7155      99.2721      99.9378     100.6983
              100.3338     100.4379     101.8700     101.9541          99.9752
 
  1973        101.0150      99.1878      98.3690      98.4546
               98.8070      99.3208      99.7915     100.4090
              100.2358     100.4209     101.6486     101.8682          99.9607
 
  1974        101.1795      99.3513      98.5492      98.6730
               99.0437      99.4589      99.6016     100.1027
              100.0987     100.2091     101.4236     101.5316          99.9352
 
  1975        101.2274      99.6690      98.9606      98.9603
               99.4366      99.7845      99.2744      99.7945
               99.8405      99.8409     101.1182     101.2026          99.9258
 
  1976        101.1305      99.9455      99.4365      99.4413
               99.9442     100.1403      99.0223      99.5529
               99.4686      99.3555     100.9768     100.7426          99.9298
 
  1977        100.7434     100.2137     100.1107      99.9330
              100.3209     100.5326      98.8473      99.5233
               99.0720      98.8991     100.9227     100.4645          99.9652
 
  1978        100.1615     100.2537     100.5602     100.3312
              100.5756     100.7267      99.0020      99.7613
               98.9661      98.7145     100.9140      99.9952          99.9968
 
  1979         99.4194     100.2288     100.8709     100.4981
              100.3600     100.8795      99.3986     100.2953
               99.2432      98.8526     100.8461      99.5879         100.0400
 
  1980         98.8145      99.8576     100.6754     100.5323
               99.9591     100.8546     100.0782     100.9482
               99.8835      99.2392     100.7146      99.1350         100.0577
 
  1981         98.3642      99.5631     100.3089     100.2198
               99.3836     100.8026     100.8190     101.5833
              100.6273      99.6667     100.4400      98.8586         100.0531
 
  1982         98.2742      99.3570      99.7258      99.6997
               99.1275     100.6791     101.3431     101.9750
              101.4806      99.9333      99.9036      98.7506         100.0208
 
  1983         98.4795      99.4448      99.3223      99.2263
               98.8905     100.7430     101.4583     101.9876
              102.0221     100.0787      99.4105      98.9018          99.9971
 
  1984         98.9334      99.5488      99.1370      98.8213
               98.8206     100.7193     101.4777     101.8596
              102.2224     100.1200      99.1223      99.0464          99.9857
 
  1985         99.2104      99.7839      99.1927      98.5119
               98.7093     100.6685     101.6106     101.7938
              102.2197     100.2581      98.8623      98.9386          99.9800
 
  1986         99.2792      99.8301      99.3292      98.2781
               98.9359     100.6347     101.9031     101.9211
              102.3101     100.2587      98.5341      98.5623          99.9814
 
  1987         98.9865      99.5573      99.5718      98.4135
               99.3372     100.9372     102.2014     102.1212
              102.1573     100.1585      98.1581      98.0622          99.9719
 
  1988         98.6925      98.9687      99.9950      98.7439
              100.0013     101.3335     102.4223     102.2977
              101.7913      99.6931      97.9017      97.6449          99.9572
 
  1989         98.5391      98.4723     100.5217      99.2677
              100.7890     101.6120     102.3266     102.2009
              101.0591      99.0924      97.6954      97.6676          99.9370
 
  1990         98.9561      98.3840     101.0370      99.7302
              101.4091     101.5074     101.7492     101.6761
              100.2589      98.4870      97.8919      98.3068          99.9495
 
  1991         99.8616      98.6472     101.4100     100.0196
              101.5158     101.1162     100.6542     100.9538
               99.3566      98.2489      98.3786      99.5205          99.9736
 
  1992        101.2527      99.2752     101.4881      99.9639
              100.8291     100.3538      99.4393     100.2389
               98.8087      98.5692      99.2549     100.5709         100.0037
 
  1993        102.5433     100.0678     101.2738      99.6727
               99.8015      99.5435      98.4440      99.6984
               98.7217      99.1961      99.9707     101.2676         100.0168
 
  1994        103.3462     100.8772     100.8415      99.4208
               98.8766      98.9355      97.8706      99.4028
               99.0865      99.8036     100.4274     101.4585         100.0289
 
  1995        103.3158     101.1650     100.3976      99.3036
               98.5297      99.0491      98.0197      99.4006
               99.5715     100.0853     100.1893     101.0597         100.0072
 
  1996        102.6229     100.9791     100.1681      99.5302
               98.7808      99.7019      98.8144      99.6480
               99.8394      99.9507      99.6024     100.0627          99.9750
 
  1997        101.5628     100.5621     100.1739      99.9174
               99.7261     100.5769     100.0690      99.8786
               99.7210      99.4221      98.7180      98.9345          99.9385
 
  1998        100.6112     100.2323     100.5062     100.5401
              100.8098     101.1678     101.1864     100.0300
               99.1802      98.7122      97.9624      98.2838          99.9352
 
  1999        100.0907     100.1023     100.8350     101.1161
              101.6006     101.4524     101.9091      99.8737
               98.6633      98.2780      97.4217      98.1195          99.9552
 
  2000         99.9543     100.1117     101.1598     101.6423
              101.7591     101.3489     102.0856      99.6911
               98.3039      98.1181      97.4692      98.3339          99.9981
 
  2001         99.9236     100.3344     101.2953     101.7821
              101.4784     100.9817     101.8662      99.4922
               98.4540      98.4360      97.7798      98.7086         100.0444
 
  2002         99.8027     100.4368     101.2617     101.7565
              100.8866     100.5419     101.5286      99.4746
               98.8605      98.8822      98.2924      99.3036         100.0857
 
  2003         99.5205     100.4399     100.9316     101.3908
              100.2880     100.2531     101.2575      99.5826
               99.5471      99.6045      98.7262      99.6058         100.0956
 
  2004         99.2006     100.2049     100.3258     100.8992
               99.9092     100.3446     101.3124      99.8398
              100.0004     100.1753      99.0064      99.7315         100.0792
 
  2005         98.8527      99.9849      99.7027     100.3012
               99.9003     100.6724     101.4510     100.1872
              100.2893     100.5712      98.9728      99.5859         100.0393
 
  2006         98.6700      99.6018      99.1776     100.2062
              100.0854     101.1929     101.6975     100.4687
              100.1253     100.5254      98.6903      99.4664          99.9923
 
  2007         98.6228      99.3172      98.9448     100.5284
              100.4994     101.6781     101.7365     100.5279
               99.8660     100.0818      98.3628      99.2104          99.9480
 
  2008         98.7361      99.1609      98.9372     101.2472
              101.0301     102.1362     101.6539     100.3412
               99.4290      99.2729      98.0677      99.0649          99.9231
 
  2009         98.8819      99.1837      99.3190     102.0697
              101.5678     102.3823     101.3705     100.0298
               98.9767      98.3594      97.8321      98.8272          99.9000
 
  2010         99.1991      99.3979      99.9339     102.9390
              102.0239     102.3644     101.0323      99.5150
               98.4043      97.5237      97.6892      98.8014          99.9020
 
  2011         99.6478      99.8086     100.6684     103.5056
              102.3354     102.1215     100.5841      98.9506
               98.0154      96.8728      97.6726      98.8157          99.9166
 
  2012        100.1723     100.3105     101.2583     103.7128
              102.4960     101.8616     100.2588      98.3912
               97.7376      96.5486      97.7041      98.9638          99.9513
 
  2013        100.5503     100.7038     101.6404     103.6545
              102.4969     101.6629     100.0623      98.1103
               97.6326      96.4658      97.7604      99.0257          99.9805
 
  2014        100.7089     100.8611     101.8120     103.6274
              102.4606     101.5450      99.9925      98.0527
               97.5750                                                100.7372
 
  AVGE        100.0130      99.8064     100.1304     100.2943
              100.2490     100.7473     100.6040     100.2977
               99.7684      99.2522      99.2170      99.5341

  Table Total-         52498.21   Mean-         100.00   Std. Dev.-           1.26
                                  Min -          96.47        Max -         103.71
        X-12-ARIMA run of EXJPUS            PAGE  19, SERIES EXJPUS


 F 2. Summary Measures
   F 2.A: Average percent change without regard to sign over the
          indicated span
      Span
       in      B1     D11     D13     D12     D10      A2     D18      F1
     months    O      CI       I       C       S       P     TD&H     mcd
        1    1.99    1.86    1.39    1.14    0.82    0.00    0.00    1.38
        2    3.26    3.00    1.61    2.23    1.17    0.00    0.00    2.60
        3    4.29    3.93    1.51    3.25    1.50    0.00    0.00    3.62
        4    5.17    4.79    1.47    4.16    1.72    0.00    0.00    4.50
        5    5.93    5.54    1.49    4.99    1.84    0.00    0.00    5.27
        6    6.60    6.16    1.53    5.76    1.89    0.00    0.00    5.94
        7    7.12    6.78    1.48    6.47    1.82    0.00    0.00    6.62
        8    7.63    7.42    1.43    7.17    1.69    0.00    0.00    7.30
        9    8.16    8.05    1.42    7.81    1.45    0.00    0.00    7.93
       10    8.69    8.63    1.43    8.44    1.12    0.00    0.00    8.52
       11    9.23    9.20    1.42    9.06    0.80    0.00    0.00    9.09
       12    9.77    9.74    1.60    9.63    0.34    0.00    0.00    9.64

      Span
       in     E1      E2      E3
     months  Mod.O   Mod.CI  Mod.I
        1    1.82    1.61    1.07
        2    2.95    2.65    1.10
        3    3.92    3.57    0.98
        4    4.82    4.44    0.95
        5    5.60    5.24    0.97
        6    6.30    5.93    1.01
        7    6.89    6.60    1.00
        8    7.45    7.28    0.98
        9    8.03    7.90    0.93
       10    8.59    8.52    0.93
       11    9.14    9.09    0.97
       12    9.71    9.68    1.10

   F 2.B: Relative contributions to the variance of the percent change
          in the components of the original series
      Span
       in     E3     D12     D10      A2     D18            RATIO
     months   I       C       S       P     TD&H    TOTAL   (X100)
        1   36.49   41.88   21.63    0.00    0.00  100.00   93.94
        2   15.97   65.81   18.22    0.00    0.00  100.00   86.77
        3    7.00   76.67   16.33    0.00    0.00  100.00   89.49
        4    4.25   81.82   13.93    0.00    0.00  100.00   91.23
        5    3.23   85.15   11.63    0.00    0.00  100.00   93.23
        6    2.70   87.81    9.49    0.00    0.00  100.00   95.04
        7    2.15   90.68    7.17    0.00    0.00  100.00   97.36
        8    1.74   93.08    5.18    0.00    0.00  100.00   99.29
        9    1.35   95.38    3.28    0.00    0.00  100.00   99.26
       10    1.18   97.13    1.70    0.00    0.00  100.00   99.47
       11    1.13   98.11    0.76    0.00    0.00  100.00  100.06
       12    1.29   98.58    0.12    0.00    0.00  100.00   99.78

   F 2.C: Average percent change with regard to sign and standard
          deviation over indicated span
      Span        B1               D13              D12
       in          O                I                C
     months   Avg.    S.D.     Avg.    S.D.     Avg.    S.D.
        1    -0.20    2.64     0.02    1.83    -0.22    1.42
        2    -0.38    4.27     0.03    2.27    -0.43    2.77
        3    -0.56    5.52     0.02    2.19    -0.63    4.01
        4    -0.73    6.58     0.02    2.12    -0.82    5.11
        5    -0.91    7.50     0.02    2.16    -1.01    6.09
        6    -1.09    8.25     0.02    2.17    -1.20    6.98
        7    -1.27    8.86     0.02    2.04    -1.38    7.80
        8    -1.46    9.41     0.02    1.94    -1.55    8.59
        9    -1.63    9.99     0.02    1.96    -1.71    9.34
       10    -1.79   10.58     0.02    2.01    -1.87   10.07
       11    -1.96   11.16     0.02    1.97    -2.01   10.76
       12    -2.11   11.79     0.02    2.10    -2.16   11.41

      Span        D10              D11               F1
       in          S                CI              mcd
     months   Avg.    S.D.     Avg.    S.D.     Avg.    S.D.
        1     0.00    1.02    -0.20    2.46    -0.22    1.78
        2     0.00    1.46    -0.39    3.91    -0.42    3.31
        3     0.01    1.86    -0.58    5.02    -0.62    4.56
        4     0.02    2.13    -0.77    6.01    -0.81    5.61
        5     0.03    2.26    -0.96    6.88    -1.00    6.52
        6     0.04    2.30    -1.15    7.65    -1.19    7.33
        7     0.05    2.23    -1.34    8.33    -1.37    8.07
        8     0.04    2.08    -1.52    9.01    -1.54    8.79
        9     0.04    1.78    -1.68    9.71    -1.70    9.50
       10     0.03    1.39    -1.83   10.43    -1.85   10.21
       11     0.02    1.01    -1.97   11.11    -1.99   10.90
       12     0.00    0.43    -2.11   11.77    -2.14   11.54

   F 2.D: Average duration of run        CI      I       C      mcd
                                        2.53    1.67    8.32    5.38


   F 2.E: I/C Ratio for months span

      SPAN         1       2       3       4       5       6
      I/C        1.21    0.72    0.47    0.35    0.30    0.27

      SPAN         7       8       9      10      11      12
      I/C        0.23    0.20    0.18    0.17    0.16    0.17

         months for cyclical dominance:       2


   F 2.F: Relative contribution of the components to the stationary
          portion of the variance in the original series

                   I       C       S       P     TD&H   Total
                  0.30   98.42    0.56    0.00    0.00   99.27


   F 2.G: The autocorrelation of the irregulars for spans 1 to 14

      SPAN         1       2       3       4       5       6       7
      ACF        0.19   -0.26   -0.16   -0.09   -0.13   -0.13    0.01

      SPAN         8       9      10      11      12      13      14
      ACF        0.10    0.08    0.04    0.08   -0.05   -0.08    0.09

   F 2.H: The final I/C Ratio from Table D12:        0.94
          The final I/S Ratio from Table D10:        3.62

   F 2.I:                                                    Statistic   Prob.
                                                                         level
    F-test for stable seasonality from Table B 1.        :      0.915   52.56%
    F-test for stable seasonality from Table D 8.        :      1.789    5.30%
    Kruskal-Wallis Chi Squared test
                  for stable seasonality from Table D 8. :     19.710    4.95%
    F-test for moving seasonality from Table D 8.        :      2.699    0.00%

        X-12-ARIMA run of EXJPUS            PAGE  21, SERIES EXJPUS


 F 3. Monitoring and Quality Assessment Statistics
       All the measures below are in the range from 0 to 3 with an 
       acceptance region from 0 to 1.

    1. The relative contribution of the irregular over three       M1  = 0.700
       months span (from Table F 2.B).


    2. The relative contribution of the irregular component        M2  = 0.030
       to the stationary portion of the variance (from Table 
       F 2.F).

    3. The amount of month to month change in the irregular        M3  = 0.000
       component as compared to the amount of month to month
       change in the trend-cycle (from Table F2.H).

    4. The amount of autocorrelation in the irregular as           M4  = 1.475
       described by the average duration of run (Table F 2.D).


    5. The number of months it takes the change in the trend-      M5  = 0.187
       cycle to surpass the amount of change in the irregular
       (from Table F 2.E).

    6. The amount of year to year change in the irregular as       M6  = 0.150
       compared to the amount of year to year change in the
       seasonal (from Table F 2.H).

    7. The amount of moving seasonality present relative to        M7  = 2.054
       the amount of stable seasonality (from Table F 2.I).


    8. The size of the fluctuations in the seasonal component      M8  = 2.711
       throughout the whole series.


    9. The average linear movement in the seasonal component       M9  = 0.523
       throughout the whole series.


   10. Same as 8, calculated for recent years only.                M10 = 3.000



   11. Same as 9, calculated for recent years only.                M11 = 3.000

          *** CONDITIONALLY REJECTED *** at the level  1.06

          *** Check the  5 above measures which failed.

          *** Q (without M2) =  1.19  CONDITIONALLY REJECTED.




 WARNING: Series should not be a candidate for seasonal adjustment
          because the spectrum of the original series (Table A1 or B1)
          has no visually significant seasonal peaks.

          If this is a component series of an indirectly adjusted
          composite series, consider using type = trend or type = summary
          in the x11 spec.
        X-12-ARIMA run of EXJPUS            PAGE  22, SERIES EXJPUS
 G 0  10*LOG(SPECTRUM) of the differenced, transformed Original Series
      (Table A1 or B1).  Spectrum estimated from 2006.Oct to 2014.Sep.
 ++++++++++I+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++I
     -31.44I           *                                                 I    -31.44
           I           *                                                 I
           I           *                                                 I
           I           *                                                 I
     -32.82I           *                                                 I    -32.82
           I           *                                                 I
           I           *                                                 I
           I           *                                                 I
     -34.19I          S*                                                 I    -34.19
           I          S*                                                 I
           I *        S*                                                 I
           I *        S*                                                 I
     -35.57I **       S*                                                 I    -35.57
           I **       S*                                                 I
           I **       S**    *                                           I
           I **       S***   *     *                                     I
     -36.94I **       S***   *     *                                     I    -36.94
           I***       S***   *     *                              *     SI
           I***       S***   *     *                              *     SI
           I***       S****  *     *                              *     SI
     -38.31I***       S****  *     *                              *     SI    -38.31
           I***       S****  *     *                    *         *     SI
           I***       S****  *     *    *               *         *    *SI
           I***       S****  *     *    *    *          *        **    *SI
     -39.69I***       S****  *     *    *    *          *        **    *SI    -39.69
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        X-12-ARIMA run of EXJPUS            PAGE  23, SERIES EXJPUS
 G 1  10*LOG(SPECTRUM) of the differenced, transformed Seasonally Adjusted 
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        X-12-ARIMA run of EXJPUS            PAGE  24, SERIES EXJPUS
 G 2  10*LOG(SPECTRUM) of the Modified Irregular (Table E3).  
      Spectrum estimated from 2006.Oct to 2014.Sep.
 ++++++++++I+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++I
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アプリケーション
The X-12-ARIMA Seasonal Adjustment Program https://www.census.gov/srd/www/x12a/

参考文献
有田帝馬(2012).『入門季節調整』.東洋経済新報社.pp255